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BLR Technologies Software Warning

Introduction

My awareness of potential unfair practices among online casinos utilizing BLR Technologies software began when a user named clempops4 shared a post a complaint on my forum dated October 28, 2011. Initially, the user claimed to have achieved only a 25% win rate out of 3,200 bets placed. However, the specifics of his betting strategy were not disclosed, which led me to take his claims with skepticism.

Then he posted nine videos on YouTube where he showcased his gameplay. He appeared to focus solely on pass and don't pass bets. Winning only 25% across 3,200 decisions related to those bets seemed highly improbable. Moreover, both the player himself and several other forum members scrutinized the videos through various lenses to uncover the reasons behind his high rate of losses. Regardless of the findings, the situation raised significant questions in my mind, prompting me to conduct my own tests on the software.

For my test, I placed only pass line bets while meticulously noting not just the outcomes, but the circumstances of wins and losses. Specifically, I tracked results from the come out roll versus subsequent point rolls. I conducted my tests on October 31, 2011, and recorded the entire session on video for future reference, if necessary. Below are my findings based on 328 bets.

Pass Bet Experiment

Event Probability Expected Observations Actual Observations
Come out roll win 22.22% 72.89 33
Point 4 win 2.78% 9.11 4
Point 5 win 4.44% 14.58 10
Point 6 win 6.31% 20.71 7
Point 8 win 6.31% 20.71 11
Point 9 win 4.44% 14.58 10
Point 10 win 2.78% 9.11 6
Come out roll loss 11.11% 36.44 66
Point 4 loss 5.56% 18.22 26
Point 5 loss 6.67% 21.87 25
Point 6 loss 7.58% 24.85 39
Point 8 loss 7.58% 24.85 38
Point 9 loss 6.67% 21.87 31
Point 10 loss 5.56% 18.22 22
Total 100.00% 328.00 328

The chi-squared goodness of fit test is valuable for comparing actual results to expected outcomes, particularly in scenarios with various potential results. In this instance, the chi-squared value I calculated was 89.61 with 13 degrees of freedom. The likelihood of obtaining results this far from what was anticipated—or even more extreme—is approximately 1 in 6,036,452,793,441.

What truly stood out was that in all potential winning scenarios, my results were below expectations, while my losses occurred more frequently than anticipated. Below, I've summarized my overall performance in terms of wins and losses:

Wins = 81
Losses = 247

My winning percentage stood at 24.70%. In contrast, the fair odds of winning a pass line bet is 49.29%. Could it simply be a string of bad luck? Let's examine further.

  • The standard deviation for my wins over the 328 rolls was calculated to be 9.054.
  • The anticipated number of wins for 328 rolls should be around 161.681.
  • Actual wins was 81
  • Deficit in wins is 80.681
  • This means I fell short of expectations by 80.681 divided by 9.054, resulting in approximately 8.911 standard deviations.
  • The chances of being more than 8.911 standard deviations below expectations calculate to 1 in 3,940,183,270,432,190,000.

To illustrate this further, the odds of securing a win in the Powerball Lottery are 1 in 146,107,962. The likelihood of hitting the Powerball twice in a row is 184 times greater than experiencing the level of misfortune I did in this game of craps.

Moreover, Dr. Eliot Jacobson conducted his own analysis that yielded even more improbable outcomes than mine. He compiled his conclusions in a post on my forum .

Given the severe bias reflected in my data, along with consistent patterns noted by others, I caution players against gambling at any casino utilizing BLR Technologies software, especially for craps. Here are the blacklisted casinos that persist in using this software in spite of the evidence indicating its unfairness:


Following the dissemination of this story, I received a statement from 5Dimes casino, which had previously operated the BLR software in their 'cashback' casino:

In light of the ongoing allegations and the documented evidence against the BLR casino platform, the 5Dimes group has opted to discontinue its use across our range of casinos.

BLR was provided with ample opportunity to address the concerns raised by forum participants and our inquiries directly. However, they failed to provide satisfactory answers, leading to the decision to remove the platform.

A management decision was reached to eliminate that casino and redirect focus towards enhancing offerings with our other casino providers.


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