Wizard Recommends
100 % up to
2250zł +200 spins- Massive gaming platform
- Crypto-friendly
- Loyalty program
120 % up to
1200zł +50 spins- Welcome bonus package
- Loyalty Program
- Slot tournaments offering substantial prize pools
On this page
100% Rebate on Video Poker Losses
Introduction
In the previous year before this discussion, two casinos had promotions that provided a full 100% rebate on losses from slots, including video poker. Such promotions can prove to be extremely beneficial for players. This page aims to clarify the potential winnings and the realistic winning goals players should establish while engaging in video poker.
Strategy
When casinos implement loss rebate promotions across their machines, they often exclude high-denomination video poker games from being eligible. If players find that they can bet much higher amounts on slot machines compared to video poker, it may be wise to switch to playing slot games instead. For more information, I have created another page on the subject. 100% rebates on slot losses . This page considers video poker only.
Typically, volatility can be problematic for skilled players, but when aiming to make the most of a loss rebate, it can work in your favor. The house edge shouldn’t diminish your bankroll significantly; instead, aim to reach your winning targets quickly, or risk going broke attempting it. Consequently, you should place the highest bets possible. Ideally, look for video poker games with $25 denominations or five-play games at $5. If these are unavailable, considering playing slots might be worthwhile. reeled slots .
This page outlines the ideal moment to stop playing based on the maximum loss that will be refunded, along with details for four common single-line video poker payout configurations.
Example
For instance, with an 8-5 Bonus Poker game and a maximum loss limit of 800 credits, the table illustrates that the optimal winning target should be 860 units, which corresponds to an anticipated win of approximately 295.52 units, with a success probability of 27.89%. Yet in practical terms, the expected win is nearly equivalent for achieving significantly lower winning objectives. When contemplating the Kelly Criterion alongside the delay of returning for the rebate, a realistic target would be roughly half of the ideal winning goal.
For those unfamiliar with the term \"unit,\" it refers to the total wager. In the previous scenario, if you place a bet of 5 coins on a game with a $25 denomination, that would equal a unit worth $125. Setting a winning target of 500 units would yield an expected win of 282.06 credits. When betting $125, this translates to an anticipated win of $125 multiplied by 282.06, giving approximately $35,257.50.
800-Credit Bankroll
8-5 Bonus Poker — Max Loss = 800 Units
| Win Goal | Expected Win |
Probability of Success |
|---|---|---|
| 100 | 193.54 | 62.07% |
| 200 | 243.23 | 51.13% |
| 300 | 263.00 | 46.11% |
| 400 | 274.06 | 42.79% |
| 500 | 282.06 | 39.86% |
| 600 | 288.25 | 36.85% |
| 700 | 292.78 | 33.59% |
| 800 | 295.25 | 30.01% |
| 860 | 295.52 | 27.89% |
| 900 | 295.22 | 26.64% |
| 1000 | 293.33 | 24.09% |
25-15-9 Deuces Wild — Max Loss = 800 Units
| Win Goal | Expected Win |
Probability of Success |
|---|---|---|
| 100 | 173.33 | 66.11% |
| 200 | 216.71 | 56.32% |
| 300 | 246.16 | 48.74% |
| 400 | 262.59 | 43.72% |
| 500 | 273.11 | 39.72% |
| 600 | 279.77 | 36.24% |
| 700 | 283.87 | 32.95% |
| 800 | 285.69 | 29.65% |
| 820 | 285.77 | 28.99% |
| 900 | 285.09 | 26.64% |
| 1000 | 282.70 | 24.07% |
9-6 Jacks or Better — Max Loss = 800 Units
| Win Goal | Expected Win |
Probability of Success |
|---|---|---|
| 100 | 220.50 | 63.40% |
| 200 | 273.01 | 54.06% |
| 300 | 293.29 | 50.16% |
| 400 | 306.49 | 47.38% |
| 500 | 318.06 | 44.68% |
| 600 | 329.13 | 41.79% |
| 700 | 339.70 | 38.61% |
| 800 | 349.62 | 35.06% |
| 900 | 357.35 | 31.72% |
| 1000 | 361.52 | 29.31% |
| 1100 | 363.64 | 27.42% |
| 1200 | 364.58 | 25.74% |
| 1230 | 364.66 | 25.25% |
| 1300 | 364.45 | 24.14% |
| 1400 | 363.53 | 22.61% |
| 1500 | 361.65 | 21.15% |
9-6 Double Double Bonus — Maximum Loss = 800 Units
| Win Goal | Expected Win |
Probability of Success |
|---|---|---|
| 100 | 166.29 | 73.09% |
| 200 | 222.06 | 63.34% |
| 300 | 257.69 | 56.68% |
| 400 | 284.36 | 51.24% |
| 500 | 304.45 | 46.64% |
| 600 | 319.62 | 42.77% |
| 700 | 331.32 | 39.35% |
| 800 | 340.25 | 36.13% |
| 900 | 347.00 | 33.25% |
| 1000 | 351.26 | 30.69% |
| 1100 | 353.81 | 28.42% |
| 1200 | 354.83 | 26.38% |
| 1260 | 355.11 | 25.27% |
| 1300 | 355.02 | 24.57% |
| 1400 | 354.12 | 22.92% |
| 1500 | 352.21 | 21.41% |
400-Credit Bankroll
8-5 Bonus Poker — Max Loss = 400 Units
| Win Goal | Expected Win |
Probability of Success |
|---|---|---|
| 50 | 108.71 | 62.77% |
| 100 | 149.73 | 47.66% |
| 150 | 171.38 | 39.07% |
| 200 | 182.63 | 34.25% |
| 250 | 188.35 | 31.53% |
| 300 | 191.25 | 29.99% |
| 350 | 192.71 | 29.13% |
| 400 | 193.41 | 28.64% |
| 450 | 193.90 | 28.22% |
| 500 | 194.44 | 27.61% |
| 550 | 194.95 | 26.77% |
| 600 | 195.34 | 25.71% |
| 640 | 195.45 | 24.74% |
| 650 | 195.43 | 24.47% |
| 700 | 195.14 | 23.08% |
| 750 | 194.33 | 21.55% |
25-15-9 Deuces Wild — Max Loss = 400 Units
| Win Goal | Expected Win |
Probability of Success |
|---|---|---|
| 100 | 135.85 | 53.50% |
| 200 | 163.68 | 42.03% |
| 300 | 179.75 | 34.08% |
| 400 | 186.08 | 29.97% |
| 500 | 188.92 | 27.10% |
| 600 | 189.99 | 24.66% |
| 630 | 190.04 | 23.94% |
| 700 | 189.61 | 22.23% |
| 800 | 187.62 | 19.62% |
| 900 | 184.36 | 17.27% |
| 1000 | 180.37 | 15.34% |
9-6 Jacks or Better — Max Loss = 400 Units
| Win Goal | Expected Win |
Probability of Success |
|---|---|---|
| 100 | 171.30 | 46.94% |
| 200 | 205.85 | 35.29% |
| 300 | 213.35 | 32.46% |
| 400 | 214.96 | 31.78% |
| 500 | 216.49 | 30.99% |
| 600 | 219.63 | 28.99% |
| 700 | 222.96 | 26.19% |
| 800 | 225.43 | 22.85% |
| 900 | 226.35 | 19.83% |
| 920 | 226.37 | 19.38% |
| 1000 | 226.03 | 18.00% |
| 1100 | 225.28 | 16.82% |
| 1200 | 224.07 | 15.81% |
9-6 Double Double Bonus — Maximum Loss = 400 Units
| Win Goal | Expected Win |
Probability of Success |
|---|---|---|
| 100 | 133.45 | 60.35% |
| 200 | 169.99 | 48.40% |
| 300 | 189.75 | 41.26% |
| 400 | 202.35 | 36.08% |
| 500 | 210.76 | 32.08% |
| 600 | 216.18 | 28.89% |
| 700 | 219.77 | 26.15% |
| 800 | 221.98 | 23.62% |
| 900 | 222.99 | 21.39% |
| 910 | 223.02 | 21.18% |
| 1000 | 222.78 | 19.47% |
| 1100 | 221.93 | 17.82% |
| 1200 | 220.29 | 16.37% |
200-Credit Bankroll
8-5 Bonus Poker — Max Loss = 200 Units
| Win Goal | Expected Win |
Probability of Success |
|---|---|---|
| 50 | 72.39 | 54.08% |
| 100 | 96.77 | 36.73% |
| 150 | 108.69 | 27.17% |
| 200 | 114.44 | 21.89% |
| 250 | 117.08 | 18.93% |
| 300 | 118.28 | 17.28% |
| 350 | 118.76 | 16.35% |
| 400 | 118.92 | 15.82% |
| 450 | 118.96 | 15.53% |
| 500 | 118.93 | 15.36% |
| 550 | 118.90 | 15.27% |
| 600 | 118.87 | 15.22% |
25-15-9 Deuces Wild — Max Loss = 200 Units
| Win Goal | Expected Win |
Probability of Success |
|---|---|---|
| 50 | 80.29 | 50.04% |
| 100 | 93.95 | 40.63% |
| 150 | 101.07 | 35.07% |
| 200 | 107.39 | 29.33% |
| 250 | 111.81 | 24.54% |
| 300 | 113.91 | 21.69% |
| 350 | 115.01 | 19.62% |
| 400 | 115.56 | 17.96% |
| 450 | 115.69 | 16.71% |
| 500 | 115.60 | 15.81% |
| 550 | 115.34 | 15.13% |
| 600 | 115.01 | 14.61% |
9-6 Jacks or Better — Max Loss = 200 Units
| Win Goal | Expected Win |
Probability of Success |
|---|---|---|
| 100 | 109.08 | 35.07% |
| 200 | 128.88 | 21.57% |
| 300 | 132.85 | 18.34% |
| 400 | 133.61 | 17.56% |
| 500 | 133.74 | 17.37% |
| 600 | 133.75 | 17.32% |
| 630 | 133.76 | 17.26% |
| 700 | 133.65 | 16.55% |
| 800 | 132.68 | 14.18% |
| 900 | 130.67 | 11.61% |
| 1000 | 128.89 | 10.15% |
9-6 Double Double Bonus — Maximum Loss = 200 Units
| Win Goal | Expected Win |
Probability of Success |
|---|---|---|
| 100 | 95.93 | 45.66% |
| 200 | 114.97 | 33.29% |
| 300 | 123.22 | 27.06% |
| 400 | 127.83 | 22.67% |
| 500 | 130.21 | 19.49% |
| 600 | 131.14 | 17.35% |
| 690 | 131.30 | 15.80% |
| 700 | 131.30 | 15.64% |
| 800 | 130.81 | 13.96% |
| 900 | 129.80 | 12.47% |
| 1000 | 128.33 | 11.22% |
100-Credit Bankroll
8-5 Bonus Poker — Max Loss = 100 Units
| Win Goal | Expected Win |
Probability of Success |
|---|---|---|
| 50 | 46.82 | 43.89% |
| 100 | 58.71 | 26.82% |
| 150 | 63.58 | 18.13% |
| 200 | 65.46 | 13.54% |
| 250 | 66.07 | 11.03% |
| 300 | 66.18 | 9.64% |
| 350 | 66.10 | 8.87% |
| 400 | 65.97 | 8.43% |
| 450 | 65.86 | 8.19% |
| 500 | 65.77 | 8.06% |
| 550 | 65.71 | 7.98% |
| 600 | 65.66 | 7.93% |
| 650 | 65.62 | 7.91% |
25-15-9 Deuces Wild — Max Loss = 100 Units
| Win Goal | Expected Win |
Probability of Success |
|---|---|---|
| 50 | 55.02 | 34.50% |
| 100 | 60.65 | 26.75% |
| 150 | 62.38 | 23.75% |
| 200 | 64.45 | 18.94% |
| 250 | 65.65 | 14.85% |
| 300 | 65.88 | 12.83% |
| 310 | 65.89 | 12.52% |
| 350 | 65.79 | 11.40% |
| 400 | 65.47 | 10.19% |
| 450 | 65.08 | 9.30% |
| 500 | 64.66 | 8.67% |
9-6 Jacks or Better — Max Loss = 100 Units
| Win Goal | Expected Win |
Probability of Success |
|---|---|---|
| 50 | 49.19 | 44.50% |
| 100 | 64.38 | 25.47% |
| 150 | 70.40 | 16.91% |
| 200 | 72.84 | 12.87% |
| 250 | 73.80 | 10.92% |
| 300 | 74.17 | 9.97% |
| 350 | 74.29 | 9.51% |
| 400 | 74.33 | 9.28% |
| 420 | 74.33 | 9.22% |
| 450 | 74.33 | 9.17% |
| 500 | 74.33 | 9.11% |
| 550 | 74.32 | 9.08% |
| 600 | 74.32 | 9.07% |
9-6 Double Double Bonus — Maximum Loss = 100 Units
| Win Goal | Expected Win |
Probability of Success |
|---|---|---|
| 50 | 53.00 | 42.30% |
| 100 | 62.03 | 31.58% |
| 150 | 66.94 | 25.16% |
| 200 | 70.09 | 20.54% |
| 250 | 71.71 | 17.81% |
| 300 | 72.58 | 16.03% |
| 350 | 73.13 | 14.56% |
| 400 | 73.49 | 13.12% |
| 450 | 73.64 | 11.93% |
| 500 | 73.61 | 10.98% |
| 550 | 73.48 | 10.21% |
| 600 | 73.27 | 9.57% |
| 650 | 73.01 | 9.05% |
| 700 | 72.72 | 8.62% |
| 750 | 72.36 | 8.18% |
| 800 | 71.87 | 7.69% |
| 850 | 71.32 | 7.22% |
| 900 | 70.73 | 6.80% |
| 950 | 70.13 | 6.43% |
| 1000 | 69.51 | 6.08% |
50-Credit Bankroll
8-5 Bonus Poker — Max Loss = 50 Units
| Win Goal | Expected Win |
Probability of Success |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | 21.90 | 50.96% |
| 40 | 27.74 | 36.69% |
| 60 | 30.95 | 28.03% |
| 80 | 32.90 | 22.07% |
| 100 | 34.14 | 17.65% |
| 120 | 34.88 | 14.46% |
| 140 | 35.30 | 12.09% |
| 160 | 35.53 | 10.30% |
| 180 | 35.62 | 8.93% |
| 190 | 35.64 | 8.37% |
| 200 | 35.63 | 7.87% |
| 220 | 35.59 | 7.05% |
| 240 | 35.52 | 6.41% |
25-15-9 Deuces Wild — Max Loss = 50 Units
| Win Goal | Expected Win |
Probability of Success |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | 24.58 | 44.42% |
| 40 | 31.48 | 27.44% |
| 60 | 34.25 | 19.94% |
| 80 | 35.38 | 16.54% |
| 100 | 35.84 | 14.98% |
| 120 | 36.01 | 14.26% |
| 140 | 36.08 | 13.93% |
| 160 | 36.11 | 13.68% |
| 180 | 36.18 | 12.89% |
| 200 | 36.23 | 11.50% |
| 220 | 36.20 | 10.00% |
| 240 | 36.11 | 8.85% |
| 260 | 36.00 | 8.03% |
| 280 | 35.88 | 7.46% |
| 300 | 35.77 | 7.03% |
9-6 Jacks or Better — Max Loss = 50 Units
| Win Goal | Expected Win |
Probability of Success |
|---|---|---|
| 50 | 30.35 | 33.22% |
| 100 | 36.58 | 16.89% |
| 150 | 38.54 | 10.31% |
| 200 | 39.15 | 7.35% |
| 250 | 39.30 | 5.95% |
| 270 | 39.31 | 5.62% |
| 300 | 39.30 | 5.28% |
| 350 | 39.26 | 4.95% |
| 400 | 39.22 | 4.79% |
9-6 Double Double Bonus — Maximum Loss = 50 Units
| Win Goal | Expected Win |
Probability of Success |
|---|---|---|
| 50 | 33.36 | 0.28 |
| 100 | 37.07 | 0.19 |
| 150 | 38.47 | 0.15 |
| 200 | 39.37 | 0.12 |
| 250 | 39.71 | 0.10 |
| 300 | 39.81 | 0.09 |
| 320 | 39.82 | 0.08 |
| 350 | 39.80 | 0.08 |
| 400 | 39.70 | 0.07 |
| 450 | 26.54 | 0.04 |
| 500 | 21.61 | 0.03 |
25-Credit Bankroll
8-5 Bonus Poker — Max Loss = 25 Units
| Win Goal | Expected Win |
Probability of Success |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 11.63 | 49.84% |
| 20 | 14.44 | 37.04% |
| 30 | 16.00 | 29.47% |
| 40 | 17.01 | 24.20% |
| 50 | 17.68 | 20.36% |
| 60 | 18.11 | 17.62% |
| 70 | 18.42 | 15.43% |
| 80 | 18.65 | 13.50% |
| 90 | 18.81 | 11.85% |
| 100 | 18.91 | 10.50% |
| 110 | 18.97 | 9.37% |
| 120 | 19.00 | 8.42% |
| 130 | 19.01 | 7.61% |
| 140 | 18.99 | 6.91% |
| 150 | 18.97 | 6.32% |
25-15-9 Deuces Wild — Max Loss = 25 Units
| Win Goal | Expected Win |
Probability of Success |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | 15.05 | 33.66% |
| 40 | 18.06 | 18.31% |
| 60 | 19.08 | 12.08% |
| 80 | 19.44 | 9.35% |
| 100 | 19.55 | 8.12% |
| 120 | 19.58 | 7.56% |
| 130 | 19.59 | 7.40% |
| 140 | 19.59 | 7.29% |
| 160 | 19.58 | 7.17% |
| 180 | 19.58 | 7.09% |
| 200 | 19.48 | 6.48% |
9-6 Jacks or Better — Max Loss = 25 Units
| Win Goal | Expected Win |
Probability of Success |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | 13.65 | 42.43% |
| 40 | 17.08 | 26.68% |
| 60 | 18.71 | 18.37% |
| 80 | 19.56 | 13.37% |
| 100 | 20.02 | 10.13% |
| 120 | 20.26 | 7.95% |
| 140 | 20.38 | 6.43% |
| 160 | 20.42 | 5.35% |
| 170 | 20.43 | 4.93% |
| 180 | 20.43 | 4.57% |
| 200 | 20.41 | 4.00% |
9-6 Double Double Bonus — Maximum Loss = 25 Units
| Win Goal | Expected Win |
Probability of Success |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | 17.77 | 25.13% |
| 40 | 18.69 | 20.96% |
| 60 | 19.84 | 15.31% |
| 80 | 20.35 | 12.55% |
| 100 | 20.64 | 10.78% |
| 120 | 20.78 | 9.79% |
| 140 | 20.86 | 9.09% |
| 160 | 20.97 | 7.91% |
| 180 | 21.01 | 7.04% |
| 200 | 21.03 | 6.40% |
| 220 | 16.77 | 4.34% |
| 240 | 14.48 | 3.34% |
| 260 | 13.24 | 2.84% |
| 280 | 12.39 | 2.53% |
| 300 | 11.69 | 2.28% |
Pay Tables
The next four tables display the full payout structures for the games evaluated in this study. Typically, one of these games will stand out as the best option at higher denominations in many casinos. The bottom right cell of each table indicates the expected return when employing an optimal strategy.
8-5 Bonus Poker — Return Table
| Hand | Pays | Combinations | Probability | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Royal flush | 800 | 495,443,136 | 0.000025 | 0.019884 |
| Straight flush | 50 | 2,129,604,264 | 0.000107 | 0.005342 |
| 4 aces | 80 | 3,903,775,812 | 0.000196 | 0.015667 |
| 4 2-4 | 40 | 10,509,866,328 | 0.000527 | 0.021090 |
| 4 5-K | 25 | 32,688,417,336 | 0.001640 | 0.040997 |
| Full house | 8 | 229,516,869,924 | 0.011514 | 0.092114 |
| Flush | 5 | 216,873,645,000 | 0.010880 | 0.054400 |
| Straight | 4 | 223,676,319,912 | 0.011221 | 0.044885 |
| 3 of a kind | 3 | 1,484,391,167,856 | 0.074468 | 0.223405 |
| Two pair | 2 | 2,577,523,603,752 | 0.129308 | 0.258616 |
| Jacks or better | 1 | 4,290,810,981,444 | 0.215259 | 0.215259 |
| Nothing | 0 | 10,860,710,822,436 | 0.544855 | 0.000000 |
| Total | 19,933,230,517,200 | 1.000000 | 0.991660 |
25-15-9 Deuces Wild — Return Table
| Hand | Pays | Combinations | Probability | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natural royal flush | 800 | 459,049,128 | 0.000023 | 0.018423 |
| Four deuces | 200 | 3,727,422,492 | 0.000187 | 0.037399 |
| Wild royal flush | 25 | 38,117,987,136 | 0.001912 | 0.047807 |
| Five of a kind | 15 | 62,201,557,608 | 0.003120 | 0.046807 |
| Straight flush | 9 | 98,365,859,016 | 0.004935 | 0.044413 |
| Four of a kind | 4 | 1,221,942,888,444 | 0.061302 | 0.245207 |
| Full house | 4 | 522,030,131,520 | 0.026189 | 0.104756 |
| Flush | 3 | 407,586,633,720 | 0.020448 | 0.061343 |
| Straight | 2 | 1,145,767,137,120 | 0.057480 | 0.114961 |
| Three of a kind | 1 | 5,342,397,992,292 | 0.268015 | 0.268015 |
| Nothing | 0 | 11,090,633,858,724 | 0.556389 | 0.000000 |
| Total | 19,933,230,517,200 | 1.000000 | 0.989131 |
9-6 Jacks or Better — Return Table
| Hand | Pays | Combinations | Probability | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Royal flush | 800 | 493,512,264 | 0.000025 | 0.019807 |
| Straight flush | 50 | 2,178,883,296 | 0.000109 | 0.005465 |
| 4 of a kind | 25 | 47,093,167,764 | 0.002363 | 0.059064 |
| Full house | 9 | 229,475,482,596 | 0.011512 | 0.103610 |
| Flush | 6 | 219,554,786,160 | 0.011015 | 0.066087 |
| Straight | 4 | 223,837,565,784 | 0.011229 | 0.044917 |
| 3 of a kind | 3 | 1,484,003,070,324 | 0.074449 | 0.223346 |
| Two pair | 2 | 2,576,946,164,148 | 0.129279 | 0.258558 |
| Jacks or better | 1 | 4,277,372,890,968 | 0.214585 | 0.214585 |
| Nothing | 0 | 10,872,274,993,896 | 0.545435 | 0.000000 |
| Total | 19,933,230,517,200 | 1.000000 | 0.995439 |
9-6 Double Double Bonus — Return Table
| Hand | Pays | Combinations | Probability | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Royal flush | 800 | 488,567,700 | 0.000025 | 0.019608 |
| Straight flush | 50 | 2,184,917,880 | 0.000110 | 0.005481 |
| 4 aces + 2-4 | 400 | 1,227,691,500 | 0.000062 | 0.024636 |
| 4 2-4 + A-4 | 160 | 2,854,370,052 | 0.000143 | 0.022911 |
| 4 aces + 5-K | 160 | 3,460,011,120 | 0.000174 | 0.027773 |
| 4 2-4 + 5-K | 80 | 7,662,444,216 | 0.000384 | 0.030752 |
| 4 5-K | 50 | 32,494,582,452 | 0.001630 | 0.081509 |
| Full house | 9 | 216,474,969,996 | 0.010860 | 0.097740 |
| Flush | 6 | 226,412,247,120 | 0.011359 | 0.068151 |
| Straight | 4 | 254,472,741,540 | 0.012766 | 0.051065 |
| 3 of a kind | 3 | 1,500,277,164,324 | 0.075265 | 0.225795 |
| Two pair | 1 | 2,453,055,008,724 | 0.123064 | 0.123064 |
| Jacks or better | 1 | 4,212,339,758,244 | 0.211322 | 0.211322 |
| Nothing | 0 | 11,019,826,042,332 | 0.552837 | 0.000000 |
| Total | 19,933,230,517,200 | 1.000000 | 0.989808 |
Methodology
This evaluation was conducted using the optimal video poker strategy. The simulations incorporated a Mersenne Twister random number generator.
Internal Links
Promotions offering a complete 100% rebate on losses from video poker games. Strategies for engaging with 100% loss rebate promotions on single-line three-reel slots. This could be a feasible alternative if you are able to place significantly larger bets on slots.