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Slot Machine Appendix 1

Introduction

Between October 28 and November 1, 2000, I conducted a study consisting of 3976 plays on a 25-cent Double Strike machine located at the Silver Legacy in Reno. This specific slot machine, labeled as Silver Legacy machine number 4533, is a flat top produced by IGT. Below is the pay table showcasing its features. Some symbols were denoted with the term \"double,\" which doubled the prize total, except for the three red double sevens.

Double Strike Pay Table

Combination 1 Coin Pays 2 Coin Pays
Three red double 7s 2000 5000
Three red 7s 200 400
Three blue 7s 100 200
Three green 7s 40 80
Any three 7s 20 40
Three 5 bars 20 40
Three single bars 10 20
Any three bars 5 10
Any three symbols 2 4

While playing, I meticulously recorded the positions of the payline symbols on each reel. By observing the symbols both above and below the payline, I was able to reconstruct the exact sequence of symbols on each reel. Subsequently, I entered the results of each play into a spreadsheet for analysis. The table below demonstrates the frequency of occurrence for each symbol during this experiment.

Double Strike Actual Results

Symbol Reel 1 Reel 2 Reel 3
Blue 7 169 156 112
Blank 109 178 224
Double 5 bar 138 120 107
Blank 166 211 253
Red 7 116 115 53
Blank 161 199 275
Double single bar 161 101 125
Blank 121 99 104
Green 7 322 390 349
Blank 251 240 300
Double blue 7 115 72 51
Blank 215 220 292
Single bar 403 353 163
Blank 250 248 291
Double red 7 52 51 55
Blank 259 292 262
Five bar 392 332 372
Blank 139 182 227
Double green 7 113 107 44
Blank 110 111 108
Single bar 125 104 102
Blank 89 95 107
Total 3976 3976 3976

The chart below illustrates the number of observations for each reel at various stopping points, providing a clearer visual representation of the sample range.

Assuming that the weightings were accurate, the table presented below outlines the payout for each coin based on two coins played, the likelihood of each winning combination, and how they contribute to the overall return.

Combination Pays Probability Return
3 Red 3 Double 2500 0.000002 0.58%
3 Red 2 Double 800 0.000013 1.01%
3 Red 1 Double 400 0.000022 0.87%
3 Red 0 Double 200 0.000011 0.22%
3 Blue 3 Double 800 0.000007 0.54%
3 Blue 2 Double 400 0.000039 1.57%
3 Blue 1 Double 200 0.000075 1.50%
3 Blue 0 Double 100 0.000047 0.47%
3 Green 3 Double 320 0.000008 0.27%
3 Green 2 Double 160 0.000122 1.95%
3 Green 1 Double 80 0.000524 4.19%
3 Green 0 Double 40 0.000697 2.79%
Any 7 3 Double 160 0.000136 2.18%
Any 7 2 Double 80 0.001128 9.02%
Any 7 1 Double 40 0.002992 11.97%
Any 7 0 Double 20 0.002526 5.05%
5 Bar 3 Double 160 0.000028 0.45%
5 Bar 2 Double 80 0.000256 2.05%
5 Bar 1 Double 40 0.000771 3.08%
5 Bar 0 Double 20 0.000770 1.54%
Bar 3 Double 80 0.000032 0.26%
Bar 2 Double 40 0.000321 1.28%
Bar 1 Double 20 0.001015 2.03%
Bar 0 Double 10 0.001017 1.02%
Any Bar 3 Double 40 0.000183 0.73%
Any Bar 2 Double 20 0.001714 3.43%
Any Bar 1 Double 10 0.005345 5.34%
Any Bar 0 Double 5 0.005569 2.78%
Anything 3 Double 16 0.001189 1.90%
Anything 2 Double 8 0.010477 8.38%
Anything 1 Double 4 0.030698 12.28%
Anything 0 Double 2 0.029908 5.98%
Total   0.097644 96.73%

The last row of the preceding table indicates a theoretical return rate of 96.73% for two coins played, while the return for a single coin played is 96.62%. Furthermore, players can expect to achieve a win approximately 9.76% of the time. The calculated standard deviation for maximum coin play is 8.54. It's important to note that these figures are estimates drawn from actual gameplay results and should not be considered as exact measurements. The primary objective of this study was to demonstrate the concept of weighted reels rather than provide pinpoint return rates or reel weightings.

Based on the actual distribution and an assumption of 128 virtual stops, we can derive an educated approximation of the real wheel weightings. Below is a calculated guess of what those actual reel weightings might be.

Approximate Reel Weightings for Double Strike

Symbol Reel 1 Reel 2 Reel 3
Blue 7 3 3 2
Blank 2 3 4
Double 5 bar 2 2 2
Blank 3 4 5
Red 7 2 2 1
Blank 3 4 5
Double single bar 3 2 2
Blank 2 2 2
Green 7 6 7 6
Blank 4 4 4
Double blue 7 2 1 1
Blank 4 4 5
Single bar 7 6 4
Blank 5 5 5
Double red 7 1 1 1
Blank 5 5 5
Five bar 7 6 7
Blank 3 3 4
Double green 7 2 2 1
Blank 2 2 2
Single bar 2 2 2
Blank 2 2 2
Total 72 72 72

According to the estimated weightings, the hit frequency stands at 9.77%, with a return rate of 95.53% when 1 coin is played and 95.66% when 2 coins are played.