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Predictor
Introduction
Predictor, developed by BetSoft, a well-known Internet casino software provider, is a straightforward numbers game. In this game, players guess whether the subsequent number will be greater or lesser than the last number, and also speculate on the color of that number. It shares notable similarities with a game from Playtech. Megaball , but Predictor is played Card Sharks In contrast, Megaball resembles keno in its gameplay.
Rules
- This game incorporates 48 mining carts, each assigned a unique number from 1 to 48.
- Each mining cart is categorized by a color scheme — red, blue, or green. You can determine the color by taking the cart number, dividing it by 3, and observing the remainder: if the remainder is 0, the color is green; if 1, it is red; and if 2, it turns blue.
- To initiate the game, players must first place a bet.
- Next, a mining cart will be randomly selected by the game.
- Players can place various bets on the forthcoming cart, provided those bets are achievable:
- Red
- Blue
- Green
- Higher
- Lower
- Higher and red
- Lower and red
- Higher and blue
- Lower and blue
- Higher and green
- Lower and green
- The provided odds are calculated on a 'for one' basis, reflecting 96% of the fair value, rounded to the nearest cent.
- Carts are drawn sequentially without replacement, except when a cart is dumped.
- Players have the option to exit or 'bank half' at any stage of the game, allowing them to take half of their current balance while wagering the remaining amount.
- For the initial cart drawn, players have the opportunity to replace it with a different cart if desired.
Analysis
Consider a scenario where the first cart drawn is blue 11. The subsequent table outlines the number of possible winning carts based on various bets, the chances of winning, the odds provided, the fair odds, and the expected value. The expected value reflects the ratio between the offered odds and the fair odds.
Blue 11 Analysis
| Bet | Winning Carts |
Probability | Pays | Fair Odds |
Expected Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue | 15 | 0.319149 | 3.01 | 3.133333 | 0.960638 |
| Red | 16 | 0.340426 | 2.82 | 2.937500 | 0.960000 |
| Green | 16 | 0.340426 | 2.82 | 2.937500 | 0.960000 |
| Higher | 37 | 0.787234 | 1.22 | 1.270270 | 0.960426 |
| Lower | 10 | 0.212766 | 4.51 | 4.700000 | 0.959574 |
| Blue and lower | 3 | 0.063830 | 15.04 | 15.666667 | 0.960000 |
| Blue and higher | 12 | 0.255319 | 3.76 | 3.916667 | 0.960000 |
| Red and lower | 4 | 0.085106 | 11.28 | 11.750000 | 0.960000 |
| Red and higher | 12 | 0.255319 | 3.76 | 3.916667 | 0.960000 |
| Green and lower | 3 | 0.063830 | 15.04 | 15.666667 | 0.960000 |
| Green and higher | 13 | 0.276596 | 3.47 | 3.615385 | 0.959787 |
From the table above, notice that the expected odds consistently hover around 96%, with minor fluctuations attributed to the rounding of offered odds.
Strategy
Similar to roulette, you have the freedom to make any decisions you like. The odds remain unchanged regardless of your choices, apart from the potential to earn a fraction of a penny due to rounding.