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Gaming Entertainment, the company behind Mini Pai Gow, contests the accuracy of my analysis. They specifically pointed out that I overestimate the likelihood of a tie. I want to emphasize that I could be mistaken about any information found on this site. Analyzing casino games is a complex task, often stretching to thousands of lines of code, and even a minor error can lead to completely incorrect conclusions. My own Mini Pai Gow program consists of 1,050 lines. While I strive to compare my findings with other analyses, there is limited public data regarding Mini Pai Gow. My request for their internal mathematical report was declined. Therefore, it's wise to approach my analysis with caution.

Wizard Blog

Mini Pai Gow is a variant of pai gow poker that uses six cards rather than the usual seven. In Las Vegas, you can mainly find it at properties owned by Harrah's. The game does not impose a 5% commission on winnings, but the banker usually wins most ties, which are frequent due to the one-card low hand. Each round has clear strategies, and numerous ties, resulting in a slower gameplay pace. For those seeking a straightforward game with minimal risk, Mini Pai Gow can offer a pleasant experience. My analysis indicates a house edge of 2.64%, which is lower than many newer games.

Glossary

  1. This game utilizes a single deck of 53 cards, which includes the regular 52 cards plus one joker.
  2. The joker serves a dual purpose: it can complete a straight, flush, straight flush, or royal flush; otherwise, it functions as an ace.
  3. Once players place their bets, both the player and the dealer are dealt six cards each.
  4. Players need to arrange their six cards into one five-card high hand and one single-card low hand, ensuring that the high hand has a higher poker value than the low hand.
  5. After the player organizes their hand, the dealer will set their cards according to the designated house rules.
  6. The player’s high hand is compared against the dealer’s high hand, with the higher poker value winning; this also applies to the player’s low hand against the dealer’s low hand.
  7. If the player wins both hands, their bet earns an even payout. If they lose both, their bet is forfeited. In cases where one hand wins and the other loses, the bet results in a push.
  8. When both the player and dealer have matching hands, the dealer wins by default, with two notable exceptions outlined below.
    • If the player utilizes the joker as an ace in their low hand, it will triumph over a dealer's ace in the low hand.
    • In all other ace/ace ties, including scenarios where a player's ace faces a dealer’s joker, the round results in a push, and the outcome of the bet is determined solely by the five-card hands.
  9. The House Edge

Kelly Criterion

The dealer is mandated to construct the highest possible poker hand (e.g., royal flush, straight flush, four of a kind, etc.) for their high hand. If a particular hand can be arranged in multiple ways, the dealer will choose the configuration that maximizes their low hand. For example, with the cards JJJQQQ, the dealer can create two distinct full houses, QQQJJ and JJJQQ. The dealer will opt for JJJQQ, boosting the low hand with a queen. If the dealer's best high hand is ace high or lower, they will then select the second highest single card for their low hand.

Gaining insight into the house rules required considerable time and effort communicating with dealers. However, I acknowledge I may still have some inaccuracies. Should there be any errors in my explanation, I'd appreciate corrections.

Loss Rebates

The dealer's operational guidelines are typically accurate most of the time. One likely exception arises when a player has the option to form two distinct hands, both straight or better; in such cases, the player should select the arrangement that produces the highest low hand. For instance, with 4h, 5h, 6s, 7h, 8h, Ah, the house would likely opt for flush/6, but I believe straight/ace might prove more beneficial.

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The table below displays various results from a random simulation where both the player and dealer adhered to the established house methods.

Money Management

Phantom Bonuses Dice Probabilities Poker Probabilities Top 13 Best Bets in the Casino
Promotional Chips 1 272756408 0.148512
Quiz 1 90505910 0.049279
Player wins the high hand, and there's a joker-ace tie for the low hand. 1 21593791 0.011757
Ten Commandments of Gambling 0 466444175 0.253972
The Truth about Betting Systems 0 466470915 0.253986
Ask The Wizard 0 66872795 0.036411
Dealer wins the high hand, resulting in a joker-ace tie for the low hand. 0 18478232 0.010061
Blackjack 0 97365 0.000053
Craps 0 4749 0.000003
Baccarat Roulette 272751553 0.148509
Play For Fun Baccarat 93608360 0.050968
Blackjack Blackjack Card Counting 66864090 0.036406
Craps Crazy 4 Poker 97316 0.000053
Mississippi Stud One Card Poker 29165 0.000016
Online Craps Pai Gow Poker 23576 0.000013
Pai Gow Tiles   1836598400 1

The subsequent table encapsulates findings from the same computer simulation. The bottom right cell indicates a house edge of 2.64%, presuming the player follows the prescribed house strategy. I have not delved into optimal play, but I suspect any improvements would be marginal.

Three Card Poker

Ultimate Texas Hold ‘em Video Poker (Single-Hand) Video Poker (Multi-Hand) Jacks or Better
Double Double Bonus 1 0.209548 0.209548
Deuces Wild 0 0.554486 0
Caribbean Stud Poker Casino War 0.235966 Let it Ride
Mississippi Stud   1 Roulette

Keno

The following table outlines the payout structure for the side bet at O'Sheas casino during my visit in November 2007. It pays based on the best possible five-card hand a player can achieve, regardless of how they organize their high hand.

Money$uit 31

English Chinese (Simplified) Chinese (Traditional) Log In Sign Up
House Way Strategies 1000 48 0.000002 0.002091
Casino Canberra 250 1132 0.000049 0.012327
Foxwoods House Way 75 8248 0.000359 0.026945
Horseshoe Hammond House Way (PDF) 50 19752 0.00086 0.043019
Generic House Way (PDF) 20 196896 0.008577 0.171531
Taj Mahal House Way 7 314944 0.013719 0.09603
Traditional Way 4 696228 0.030327 0.121307
Player Strategies 3 853264 0.037167 0.111501
Wizard Way 1 2873952 0.125186 0.125186
JB Simple Strategy JB Advanced Strategy 17993016 0.783754 Optimal Dealer-Banker Strategy
Optimal Single Strategy Table   22957480 1 Optimal Strategy Table

The bottom right cell displays a house edge of 7.38% associated with the side bet.