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Dream Ball Keno
Introduction
Dream Ball Keno operates similarly to traditional Keno, but it occasionally grants players an additional pick marked on their card.
Rules
- This game is styled after the typical 4-card spot keno, which I trust you are already acquainted with.
- Players can wager between 2 and 10 coins on each card, meaning the total stake can range from 8 to 40.
- At random points during the game, players may be rewarded with an extra pick marked on their cards, except when all picks have already been marked. Below is the probability according to the specified pay tables:
- Pay Table 95 -- 10.6%
- Pay Table 93 -- 10.6%
- Pay Table 91 -- 10.5%
- Pay Table 90 -- 10.2%
- Pay Table 88 -- 10.0%
Example
In the previous image, I placed a wager of 10 credits per card. The extra feature was active. Here are the numbers of successful picks I had on each card prior to this feature:
- Card A (Purple): 1 out of 4, win = 0
- Card B (Green): 2 out of 6, win = 0
- Card C (Yellow): 1 out of 8, win = 0
- Card D (Pink): 1 out of 10, win = 0
After receiving the additional mark on each card, here’s the updated count of successful picks per card:
- Card A (Purple): 2 out of 4, win = 10
- Card B (Green): 4 out of 6, win = 15
- Card C (Yellow): 2 out of 8, win = 0
- Card D (Pink): 2 out of 10, win = 0
Thus, the additional mark transformed a zero 'win' into a 'win' of 25.
Analysis
The table below outlines the likelihood of achieving different numbers of successful picks based on the number of selections, assuming the extra feature is deactivated.
Probabilities
Catch | Pick 3 | Pick 4 | Pick 5 | Pick 6 | Pick 7 | Pick 8 | Pick 9 | Pick 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 | 0.416504 | 0.308321 | 0.227184 | 0.166602 | 0.121574 | 0.088266 | 0.063748 | 0.045791 |
1 | 0.430867 | 0.432732 | 0.405686 | 0.363495 | 0.315193 | 0.266464 | 0.220666 | 0.179571 |
2 | 0.138754 | 0.212635 | 0.270457 | 0.308321 | 0.326654 | 0.328146 | 0.316426 | 0.295257 |
3 | 0.013875 | 0.043248 | 0.083935 | 0.129820 | 0.174993 | 0.214786 | 0.246109 | 0.267402 |
4 | 0.003063 | 0.012092 | 0.028538 | 0.052191 | 0.081504 | 0.114105 | 0.147319 | |
5 | 0.000645 | 0.003096 | 0.008639 | 0.018303 | 0.032601 | 0.051428 | ||
6 | 0.000129 | 0.000732 | 0.002367 | 0.005720 | 0.011479 | |||
7 | 0.000024 | 0.000160 | 0.000592 | 0.001611 | ||||
8 | 0.000004 | 0.000033 | 0.000135 | |||||
9 | 0.000001 | 0.000006 | ||||||
10 | 0.000000 | |||||||
Total | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 |
The subsequent table illustrates how contributions to returns are calculated according to Pay Table 95, considering each possible combination of picks and successful outcomes when the extra feature isn't active.
Return Table without Feature
Catch | Pick 3 | Pick 4 | Pick 5 | Pick 6 | Pick 7 | Pick 8 | Pick 9 | Pick 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 |
1 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 |
2 | 0.138754 | 0.212635 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 |
3 | 0.381573 | 0.172992 | 0.125903 | 0.194729 | 0.087497 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 |
4 | 0.188399 | 0.078600 | 0.128421 | 0.078286 | 0.081504 | 0.057053 | 0.073659 | |
5 | 0.224111 | 0.126921 | 0.185728 | 0.183026 | 0.179308 | 0.154283 | ||
6 | 0.090289 | 0.161789 | 0.130169 | 0.165867 | 0.200889 | |||
7 | 0.030503 | 0.144410 | 0.128690 | 0.138558 | ||||
8 | 0.005432 | 0.054755 | 0.067710 | |||||
9 | 0.002173 | 0.010711 | ||||||
10 | 0.000337 | |||||||
Total | 0.520326 | 0.574026 | 0.428614 | 0.540361 | 0.543803 | 0.544541 | 0.587846 | 0.646148 |
The next table represents the expected outcomes under Pay Table 95 with the extra marking feature in play, based on the number of picks and successful outcomes recorded prior to the extra mark.
Pay Table with Feature
Catch | Pick 3 | Pick 4 | Pick 5 | Pick 6 | Pick 7 | Pick 8 | Pick 9 | Pick 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 |
1 | 0.430867 | 0.432732 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 |
2 | 3.815725 | 0.850542 | 0.405686 | 0.462482 | 0.163327 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 |
3 | 0.381573 | 2.659745 | 0.545578 | 0.584188 | 0.262490 | 0.214786 | 0.123055 | 0.133701 |
4 | 0.188399 | 4.202087 | 1.170055 | 1.122106 | 0.815037 | 0.627579 | 0.441957 | |
5 | 0.224111 | 2.166947 | 1.909110 | 1.006642 | 0.945443 | 0.899985 | ||
6 | 0.090289 | 0.915096 | 2.130042 | 1.244004 | 0.987228 | |||
7 | 0.030503 | 0.200569 | 0.994020 | 0.805572 | ||||
8 | 0.005432 | 0.097777 | 0.236984 | |||||
9 | 0.002173 | 0.018362 | ||||||
10 | 0.000337 | |||||||
Total | 4.628165 | 4.131418 | 5.377463 | 4.473961 | 4.402631 | 4.372509 | 4.034050 | 3.524124 |
The final table shows the expected return both with and without the feature enabled, under Pay Table 95. Recall that the probability of the feature is 1 in 9.43 = 10.6%. The combined column is a weighted average between 89.4% of the time when the feature is not enabled and 10.6% when it is. You can see the overall return, under this pay table, is 95.05% to 95.59%.
Pay Table with Feature
Pick | Without Feature |
With Feature |
Weighted Average |
---|---|---|---|
3 | 0.520326 | 4.628165 | 0.955940 |
4 | 0.574026 | 4.131418 | 0.951268 |
5 | 0.428614 | 5.377463 | 0.953412 |
6 | 0.540361 | 4.473961 | 0.957497 |
7 | 0.543803 | 4.402631 | 0.953011 |
8 | 0.544541 | 4.372509 | 0.950476 |
9 | 0.587846 | 4.034050 | 0.953297 |
10 | 0.646148 | 3.524124 | 0.951341 |
Return Tables
The pay tables presented below are calculated based on a wager of eight credits.
The following table corresponds to what I refer to as Pay Table 95, where the probability of utilizing the feature stands at 10.6%. The last row reveals the return percentages for varying pick counts, peaking at 95.73% for selecting 6 picks.
Pay Table 95
Catch | Pick 3 | Pick 4 | Pick 5 | Pick 6 | Pick 7 | Pick 8 | Pick 9 | Pick 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | 55 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | 123 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
5 | 695 | 82 | 43 | 20 | 11 | 6 | ||
6 | 1400 | 442 | 110 | 58 | 35 | |||
7 | 2500 | 1800 | 435 | 172 | ||||
8 | 2500 | 3360 | 1000 | |||||
9 | 6000 | 3500 | ||||||
10 | 6000 | |||||||
Return | 0.955757 | 0.951109 | 0.953192 | 0.957322 | 0.952839 | 0.950305 | 0.953144 | 0.951213 |
Next is the table I label as Pay Table 93. The feature has a probability of 10.6%, and the last row shows the returns for all pick numbers, with the highest return being 93.96% for selecting 4 picks.
Pay Table 93
Catch | Pick 3 | Pick 4 | Pick 5 | Pick 6 | Pick 7 | Pick 8 | Pick 9 | Pick 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | 53 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | 120 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
5 | 690 | 82 | 40 | 19 | 10 | 6 | ||
6 | 1400 | 442 | 110 | 58 | 34 | |||
7 | 2500 | 1800 | 435 | 166 | ||||
8 | 2500 | 3360 | 1000 | |||||
9 | 6000 | 3500 | ||||||
10 | 6000 | |||||||
Return | 0.927174 | 0.939638 | 0.938521 | 0.937685 | 0.932956 | 0.937804 | 0.932523 | 0.935385 |
Another table is what I call Pay Table 91. With a feature probability of 10.5%, the final row demonstrates the return percentages, where the maximum return is 91.64% for 10 picks.
Pay Table 91
Catch | Pick 3 | Pick 4 | Pick 5 | Pick 6 | Pick 7 | Pick 8 | Pick 9 | Pick 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | 52 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | 114 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
5 | 670 | 82 | 38 | 18 | 10 | 6 | ||
6 | 1405 | 442 | 107 | 56 | 33 | |||
7 | 2500 | 1800 | 430 | 160 | ||||
8 | 2500 | 3360 | 1000 | |||||
9 | 5000 | 3500 | ||||||
10 | 5000 | |||||||
Return | 0.908982 | 0.913332 | 0.914493 | 0.915351 | 0.915951 | 0.915479 | 0.915677 | 0.916400 |
The subsequent table represents what I term Pay Table 90, which has a feature probability of 10.2%. The final row corresponds to the returns for every pick number, with the highest yield being 90.94% for a selection of 9.
Pay Table 90
Catch | Pick 3 | Pick 4 | Pick 5 | Pick 6 | Pick 7 | Pick 8 | Pick 9 | Pick 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | 52 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | 114 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
5 | 674 | 83 | 39 | 19 | 10 | 6 | ||
6 | 1400 | 436 | 102 | 56 | 33 | |||
7 | 2500 | 1800 | 430 | 159 | ||||
8 | 2500 | 3400 | 1000 | |||||
9 | 6000 | 3500 | ||||||
10 | 6000 | |||||||
Return | 0.897283 | 0.903244 | 0.903964 | 0.905565 | 0.906626 | 0.906650 | 0.909446 | 0.907132 |
Lastly, the table referred to as Pay Table 88 shows a feature probability of 10.0%, with the concluding row indicating the returns for all selections, the highest being 88.63% for choosing 9.
Pay Table 88
Catch | Pick 3 | Pick 4 | Pick 5 | Pick 6 | Pick 7 | Pick 8 | Pick 9 | Pick 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | 51 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | 110 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
5 | 664 | 78 | 37 | 18 | 10 | 6 | ||
6 | 1400 | 435 | 101 | 55 | 32 | |||
7 | 2500 | 1800 | 420 | 153 | ||||
8 | 2500 | 3250 | 1000 | |||||
9 | 6000 | 3500 | ||||||
10 | 6000 | |||||||
Return | 0.875609 | 0.881742 | 0.885121 | 0.883775 | 0.885375 | 0.884893 | 0.886328 | 0.886053 |
External Links
VideoPoker.com — Experience Dream Ball Keno and many other games without any cost.