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Super 4

Introduction

Super 4 is a progressive side bet in Blackjack that relies on the initial four cards made up of the player’s and dealer’s two cards each, with at least four known variations existing. In each version, the player wins if the dealer has a blackjack, and the win amount varies based on the poker rankings of all four cards. Placing the wager costs a flat rate of $5.

Rules

  1. This side bet can be applied to any standard Blackjack game played with a deck of 52 cards.
  2. Three distinct variations exist; however, all require at least the dealer to show an ace face up for any win. In the first version, the dealer must have a blackjack. In the second and third versions, every win, with the exception of a dealer ace showing, necessitates the dealer to have a blackjack.
  3. The bet amount is $5.
  4. The payout structure is as follows, with all winnings based on a 'for one' principle meaning that the player does not receive their wager back even if they win.

    Super 4 Pay Table

    Event Version 1 Version 2 Version 3 Version 4
    Royal flush in diamonds 100% of Jackpot 100% of Jackpot Yellow jackpot Star jackpot
    Royal flush 10% of Jackpot 10% of Jackpot Red jackpot Spade jackpot
    Three of a kind $750 $750 Blue jackpot Heart jackpot
    Straight $500 $400 Green jackpot Club jackpot
    Flush $400 $300 $250 $300
    Two pair $300 $200 $200 $200
    All same color $100 $100 $100 $100
    Pair $75 $50 $50 $50
    Dealer blackjack $25 $25 $25 $25
    Dealer ace up $- $10 $10 $10
    Random jackpot n/a n/a n/a Diamond Jackpot

Version1 Analysis

The next three tables present my findings analyzing payout table 1 for 5, 6, and 8 decks, along with some statistics regarding the progressive betting.

Version Table 1 — 5 Decks

Event Pays Combinations Probability Return
Royal flush in diamonds 100% of Jackpot 7,500 0.000001680 x
Royal flush 10% of Jackpot 22,500 0.000005039 y
Three of a kind $750 2,188,800 0.000490208 0.073531
Straight $500 1,890,000 0.000423288 0.042329
Flush $400 3,075,600 0.000688817 0.055105
Two pair $300 2,284,800 0.000511708 0.030702
All same color $100 22,230,000 0.004978672 0.099573
Pair $75 58,960,000 0.013204791 0.198072
Dealer blackjack $25 121,520,000 0.027215845 0.136079
Loser $- 4,252,866,840 0.952479952 0.000000
Total   4,465,046,040 1.000000000 0.635392+x+y
  • Fixed return: 63.54%
  • Return per $10,000 in meter: 2.18%
  • Breakeven meter: $834,866.69

Version Table 1 — 6 Decks

Event Pays Combinations Probability Return
Royal flush in diamonds 100% of Jackpot 15,552 0.000001673 x
Royal flush 10% of Jackpot 46,656 0.000005020 y
Three of a kind $750 4,663,296 0.000501716 0.075257
Straight $500 3,919,104 0.000421650 0.042165
Flush $400 6,458,112 0.000694817 0.055585
Two pair $300 4,817,664 0.000518324 0.031099
All same color $100 46,324,224 0.004983942 0.099679
Pair $75 123,171,840 0.013251843 0.198778
Dealer blackjack $25 251,983,872 0.027110504 0.135553
Loser $- 8,853,294,960 0.952510512 0.000000
Total   9,294,695,280 1.000000000 0.638116+x+y
  • Fixed return: 63.81%
  • Return per $10,000 in meter: 2.18%
  • Breakeven meter: $831,849.54

Version Table 1 — 8 Decks

Event Pays Combinations Probability Return
Royal flush in diamonds 100% of Jackpot 49,152 0.000001665 x
Royal flush 10% of Jackpot 147,456 0.000004995 y
Three of a kind $750 15,237,120 0.000516192 0.077429
Straight $500 12,386,304 0.000419614 0.041961
Flush $400 20,729,856 0.000702271 0.056182
Two pair $300 15,544,320 0.000526599 0.031596
All same color $100 147,308,544 0.004990409 0.099808
Pair $75 392,888,320 0.013309977 0.199650
Dealer blackjack $25 796,393,472 0.026979623 0.134898
Loser $- 28,117,647,936 0.952548656 0.000000
Total   29,518,332,480 1.000000000 0.641524+x+y
  • Fixed return: 64.15%
  • Return per $10,000 in meter: 2.16%
  • Breakeven meter: $828,014.15

Version 2 Analysis

The next three tables showcase my evaluation of version 2 for 5, 6, and 8 decks, with accompanying statistics about the progressive betting.

Version 2 — 5 Decks

Event Pays Combinations Probability Return
Royal flush in diamonds 100% of Jackpot 7,500 0.000001680 x
Royal flush 10% of Jackpot 22,500 0.000005039 y
Three of a kind $750 2,188,800 0.000490208 0.073531
Straight $400 1,890,000 0.000423288 0.033863
Flush $300 3,075,600 0.000688817 0.041329
Two pair $200 2,284,800 0.000511708 0.020468
All same color $100 22,230,000 0.004978672 0.099573
Pair $50 58,960,000 0.013204791 0.132048
Dealer blackjack $25 121,520,000 0.027215845 0.136079
Dealer ace up $10 237,375,480 0.053163053 0.106326
Loser $- 4,015,491,360 0.899316899 0.000000
Total   4,465,046,040 1.000000000 0.643218+x+y
  • Fixed return: 64.32%
  • Return per $10,000 in meter: 2.18%
  • Breakeven meter: $816,947.22

Version 2 — 6 Decks

Event Pays Combinations Probability Return
Royal flush in diamonds 100% of Jackpot 15,552 0.000001673 x
Royal flush 10% of Jackpot 46,656 0.000005020 y
Three of a kind $750 4,663,296 0.000501716 0.075257
Straight $400 3,919,104 0.000421650 0.033732
Flush $300 6,458,112 0.000694817 0.041689
Two pair $200 4,817,664 0.000518324 0.020733
All same color $100 46,324,224 0.004983942 0.099679
Pair $50 123,171,840 0.013251843 0.132518
Dealer blackjack $25 251,983,872 0.027110504 0.135553
Dealer ace up $10 494,276,400 0.053178333 0.106357
Loser $- 8,359,018,560 0.899332179 0.000000
Total   9,294,695,280 1.000000000 0.645518+x+y
  • Fixed return: 64.55%
  • Return per $10,000 in meter: 2.18%
  • Breakeven meter: $814,835.65

Version 2 — 8 Decks

Event Pays Combinations Probability Return
Royal flush in diamonds 100% of Jackpot 49,152 0.000001665 x
Royal flush 10% of Jackpot 147,456 0.000004995 y
Three of a kind $750 15,237,120 0.000516192 0.077429
Straight $400 12,386,304 0.000419614 0.033569
Flush $300 20,729,856 0.000702271 0.042136
Two pair $200 15,544,320 0.000526599 0.021064
All same color $100 147,308,544 0.004990409 0.099808
Pair $50 392,888,320 0.013309977 0.133100
Dealer blackjack $25 796,393,472 0.026979623 0.134898
Dealer ace up $10 1,570,298,688 0.053197405 0.106395
Loser $- 26,547,349,248 0.899351251 0.000000
Total   29,518,332,480 1.000000000 0.648399+x+y
  • Fixed return: 64.84%
  • Return per $10,000 in meter: 2.16%
  • Breakeven meter: $812,133.57

Version 3 Analysis

The following three tables illustrate my analysis of payout table 3 for 5, 6, and 8 decks, complete with statistics on the progressive element.

Pay Table 3 — 5 Decks

Event Pays Combinations Probability Return
Royal flush in diamonds Yellow jackpot 7,500 0.0000017 w
Royal flush Red jackpot 22,500 0.0000050 x
Three of a kind Blue jackpot 2,188,800 0.0004902 y
Straight Green jackpot 1,890,000 0.0004233 z
Flush $250 3,075,600 0.0006888 0.034441
Two pair $200 2,284,800 0.0005117 0.020468
All same color $100 22,230,000 0.0049787 0.099573
Pair $50 58,960,000 0.0132048 0.132048
Dealer blackjack $25 121,520,000 0.0272158 0.136079
Dealer ace up $10 237,375,480 0.0531631 0.106326
Loser $- 4,015,491,360 0.8993169 0.000000
Total   4,015,491,360 1.0000000 0.528936+w+x+y+z

The expected return stands at 52.89%, plus an additional 0.34% for every $10,000 accumulated in the yellow meter, 1.01% for each $10,000 in the red meter, 9.80% for every $1,000 in the blue meter, and 8.47% for each $1,000 in the green meter.

Pay Table 3 — 6 Decks

Event Pays Combinations Probability Return
Royal flush in diamonds Yellow jackpot 15,552 0.000001673 w
Royal flush Red jackpot 46,656 0.000005020 x
Three of a kind Blue jackpot 4,663,296 0.000501716 y
Straight Green jackpot 3,919,104 0.000421650 z
Flush $250 6,458,112 0.000694817 0.034741
Two pair $200 4,817,664 0.000518324 0.020733
All same color $100 46,324,224 0.004983942 0.099679
Pair $50 123,171,840 0.013251843 0.132518
Dealer blackjack $25 251,983,872 0.027110504 0.135553
Dealer ace up $10 494,276,400 0.053178333 0.106357
Loser $- 8,359,018,560 0.899332179 0.000000
Total   8,359,018,560 1.000000000 0.52958+w+x+y+z

The expected return is 52.96%, with extra increments of 0.33% for every $10,000 in the yellow meter, 1.00% for each $10,000 in the red meter, 10.03% for every $1,000 in the blue meter, and 8.43% for each $1,000 in the green meter.

Version 3 — 8 Decks

Event Pays Combinations Probability Return
Royal flush in diamonds Yellow jackpot 49,152 0.000001665 w
Royal flush Red jackpot 147,456 0.000004995 x
Three of a kind Blue jackpot 15,237,120 0.000516192 y
Straight Green jackpot 12,386,304 0.000419614 z
Flush $250 20,729,856 0.000702271 0.035114
Two pair $200 15,544,320 0.000526599 0.021064
All same color $100 147,308,544 0.004990409 0.099808
Pair $50 392,888,320 0.013309977 0.133100
Dealer blackjack $25 796,393,472 0.026979623 0.134898
Dealer ace up $10 1,570,298,688 0.053197405 0.106395
Loser $- 26,547,349,248 0.899351251 0.000000
Total   26,547,349,248 1.000000000 0.530378+w+x+y+z

The return is 53.04%, plus 0.33% for each $10,000 in the yellow meter, 1.00% per $10,000 in the red meter, 10.32% for every $1,000 in the blue meter, and 8.39% for each $1,000 in the green meter.

Version 4 Analysis

Version 4 introduces a fifth 'mystery' progressive jackpot that activates randomly. Specifics on this feature are unclear, but I do know that it reached $265 on April 26 at the Maryland Live casino. The following three tables provide my analysis of version 4 for 5, 6, and 8 decks, along with some statistics regarding this progressive aspect.

Here is my evaluation of Version 4 utilizing 5 decks.

Version 4 — 5 Decks

Event Pays Combinations Probability Return
Royal flush in diamonds Star jackpot 7,500 0.0000017 ?
Royal flush Spade jackpot 22,500 0.0000050 ?
Three of a kind Heart jackpot 2,188,800 0.0004902 ?
Straight Diamond jackpot 1,890,000 0.0004233 ?
Flush Club jackpot 3,075,600 0.0006888 0.041329
Two pair $200 2,284,800 0.0005117 0.020468
All same color $100 22,230,000 0.0049787 0.099573
Pair $50 58,960,000 0.0132048 0.132048
Dealer blackjack $25 121,520,000 0.0272158 0.136079
Dealer ace up $10 237,375,480 0.0531631 0.106326
Loser $- 4,015,491,360 0.8993169 0.000000
Total   4,015,491,360 1.0000000 0.535824

The anticipated return is 53.58%, plus an additional 0.34% for every $10,000 on the yellow meter, 1.01% for each $10,000 on the red meter, 9.80% for every $1,000 in the blue meter, 8.47% for each $1,000 in the green meter, plus an undisclosed amount for the diamond meter.

Here is my assessment of Version 4 with Six Decks.

Pay Table 4 — 6 Decks

Event Pays Combinations Probability Return
Royal flush in diamonds Star jackpot 15,552 0.0000017  
Royal flush Spade jackpot 46,656 0.0000050  
Three of a kind Heart jackpot 4,663,296 0.0005017  
Straight Diamond jackpot 3,919,104 0.0004216  
Flush Club jackpot 6,458,112 0.0006948 0.041689
Two pair $200 4,817,664 0.0005183 0.020733
All same color $100 46,324,224 0.0049839 0.099679
Pair $50 123,171,840 0.0132518 0.132518
Dealer blackjack $25 251,983,872 0.0271105 0.135553
Dealer ace up $10 494,276,400 0.0531783 0.106357
Loser $- 8,359,018,560 0.8993322 0.000000
Total   8,359,018,560 1.0000000 0.536528

The return stands at 52.96%, along with 0.33% for each $10,000 in the yellow meter, 1.00% for every $10,000 in the red meter, 10.03% for every $1,000 in the blue meter, 8.43% for each $1,000 in the green meter, and an unknown figure for the diamond meter.

Here is my analysis of Version 4 with Eight Decks.

Version 4 — 8 Decks

Event Pays Combinations Probability Return
Royal flush in diamonds Star jackpot 49,152 0.0000017 ?
Royal flush Spade jackpot 147,456 0.0000050 ?
Three of a kind Heart jackpot 15,237,120 0.0005162 ?
Straight Diamond jackpot 12,386,304 0.0004196 ?
Flush Club jackpot 20,729,856 0.0007023 0.042136
Two pair $200 15,544,320 0.0005266 0.021064
All same color $100 147,308,544 0.0049904 0.099808
Pair $50 392,888,320 0.0133100 0.133100
Dealer blackjack $25 796,393,472 0.0269796 0.134898
Dealer ace up $10 1,570,298,688 0.0531974 0.106395
Loser $- 26,547,349,248 0.8993513 0.000000
Total   26,547,349,248 1.0000000 0.537401

The return is set at 53.04%, including 0.33% for every $10,000 in the yellow meter, 1.00% for each $10,000 in the red meter, 10.32% for every $1,000 in the blue meter, 8.39% for each $1,000 in the green meter, along with an unallocated amount for the diamond meter.

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