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Baccarat Odds for 1 to 12 Decks
Introduction
Many people have been inquiring about baccarat odds when using various numbers of decks. To address this, this resource will illustrate the combinations, win probabilities, and expected returns for all deck quantities ranging from 1 to 12.
Combinations
The following chart displays the combinations for each of the three outcomes depending on the number of decks used. The figures involved can become quite large, and it's important to note that Excel only recognizes up to 15 significant digits, so please refrain from questioning the accuracy of more than that; you may direct your concerns to Microsoft instead.
Combinations
| Decks | Player | Banker | Tie | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6,548,674,432 | 6,737,232,640 | 1,372,227,328 | 14,658,134,400 |
| 2 | 487,816,735,232 | 501,543,728,128 | 103,154,274,240 | 1,092,514,737,600 |
| 3 | 5,837,305,562,496 | 6,000,349,195,008 | 1,238,768,922,816 | 13,076,423,680,320 |
| 4 | 33,608,344,225,792 | 34,543,624,867,840 | 7,145,601,996,928 | 75,297,571,090,560 |
| 5 | 130,087,780,016,000 | 133,700,037,548,800 | 27,690,387,926,400 | 291,478,205,491,200 |
| 6 | 392,220,492,728,832 | 403,095,751,234,560 | 83,552,962,932,288 | 878,869,206,895,680 |
| 7 | 995,884,732,700,032 | 1,023,469,376,328,440 | 212,268,385,833,280 | 2,231,622,494,861,750 |
| 8 | 2,230,518,282,592,250 | 2,292,252,566,437,880 | 475,627,426,473,216 | 4,998,398,275,503,350 |
| 9 | 4,540,095,442,933,630 | 4,665,676,262,757,120 | 968,435,421,769,728 | 10,174,207,127,460,500 |
| 10 | 8,570,454,841,408,000 | 8,807,402,586,035,200 | 1,828,629,499,384,000 | 19,206,486,926,827,200 |
| 11 | 15,222,978,065,896,800 | 15,643,682,376,129,200 | 3,248,754,169,011,640 | 34,115,414,611,037,600 |
| 12 | 25,714,619,121,272,800 | 26,425,038,379,143,100 | 5,488,795,281,294,720 | 57,628,452,781,710,600 |
The upcoming chart outlines the likelihood of each potential outcome based on the number of decks in use.
Probabilities
| Decks | Player | Banker | Tie |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.446760430304146 | 0.459624155172162 | 0.093615414523693 |
| 2 | 0.446508150822404 | 0.459072734551641 | 0.094419114625955 |
| 3 | 0.446399237681564 | 0.458867756329930 | 0.094733005988506 |
| 4 | 0.446340349881558 | 0.458761476200800 | 0.094898173917642 |
| 5 | 0.446303626018198 | 0.458696516686345 | 0.094999857295457 |
| 6 | 0.446278569838877 | 0.458652718825324 | 0.095068711335799 |
| 7 | 0.446260393499810 | 0.458621195423935 | 0.095118411076256 |
| 8 | 0.446246609343597 | 0.458597422632763 | 0.095155968023641 |
| 9 | 0.446235798628453 | 0.458578855758138 | 0.095185345613408 |
| 10 | 0.446227093692859 | 0.458563953917737 | 0.095208952389404 |
| 11 | 0.446219934286584 | 0.458551729606354 | 0.095228336107061 |
| 12 | 0.446213942593194 | 0.458541520787272 | 0.095244536619534 |
Next, you will find a table that reveals the expected returns tied to each outcome categorized by the number of decks. It's interesting to observe that as the quantity of decks increases, the expected value of Player and Tie bets rises, meanwhile the Banker bet's expected value declines.
Expected Returns
| Decks | Player | Banker | Tie |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | -0.012863724868016 | -0.010117482890592 | -0.157461269286765 |
| 2 | -0.012564583729237 | -0.010389052998346 | -0.150227968366401 |
| 3 | -0.012468518648366 | -0.010474869168131 | -0.147402946103443 |
| 4 | -0.012421126319243 | -0.010516947490797 | -0.145916434741219 |
| 5 | -0.012392890668147 | -0.010541935166171 | -0.145001284340884 |
| 6 | -0.012374148986447 | -0.010558486954819 | -0.144381597977809 |
| 7 | -0.012360801924125 | -0.010570257847072 | -0.143934300313697 |
| 8 | -0.012350813289166 | -0.010579057842472 | -0.143596287787236 |
| 9 | -0.012343057129685 | -0.010585885658222 | -0.143331889479325 |
| 10 | -0.012336860224877 | -0.010591337471010 | -0.143013098904829 |
| 11 | -0.012331501345225 | -0.010602294856084 | -0.142538755895479 |
| 12 | -0.012319113086771 | -0.010614476760112 | -0.142116084084906 |
-0.012306724550759
The tables that follow will focus on the Player Pair and Banker Pair wagers. The expected value depicted here is typically derived from the common payout of 11 to 1. The next table illustrates the combinations of winning and losing outcomes according to the number of decks.
-0.010624567274299
| -0.141863671273765 | -0.012296893580451 | -0.010630463171362 | -0.141736172685103 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 78 | 1,248 | 1,326 |
| 2 | 364 | 4,992 | 5,356 |
| 3 | 858 | 11,232 | 12,090 |
| 4 | 1,560 | 19,968 | 21,528 |
| 5 | 2,470 | 31,200 | 33,670 |
| 6 | 3,588 | 44,928 | 48,516 |
| 7 | 4,914 | 61,152 | 66,066 |
| 8 | 6,448 | 79,872 | 86,320 |
| 9 | 8,190 | 101,088 | 109,278 |
| 10 | 10,140 | 124,800 | 134,940 |
| 11 | 12,298 | 151,008 | 163,306 |
| 12 | 14,664 | 179,712 | 194,376 |
The subsequent table presents the probabilities of winning versus losing, segmented by the number of decks in play.
-0.012291670259045
| -0.010634687036923 | -0.141555776382918 | Last updated: Oct 16, 2023 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.058823529411765 | 0.941176470588235 |
| 2 | 0.067961165048544 | 0.932038834951456 |
| 3 | 0.070967741935484 | 0.929032258064516 |
| 4 | 0.072463768115942 | 0.927536231884058 |
| 5 | 0.073359073359073 | 0.926640926640927 |
| 6 | 0.073954983922830 | 0.926045016077170 |
| 7 | 0.074380165289256 | 0.925619834710744 |
| 8 | 0.074698795180723 | 0.925301204819277 |
| 9 | 0.074946466809422 | 0.925053533190578 |
| 10 | 0.075144508670520 | 0.924855491329480 |
| 11 | 0.075306479859895 | 0.924693520140105 |
| 12 | 0.075441412520064 | 0.924558587479936 |
The next table summarizes the expected return based on the number of decks used. As seen, with an increase in deck count, the expected value also rises. This is logical, as a greater number of decks generally diminishes the impact of card removal.
On this page
| Baccarat Odds for 1 to 12 Decks | Introduction |
|---|---|
| 1 | Combinations |
| 2 | Combinations |
| 3 | Decks |
| 4 | Player |
| 5 | Banker |
| 6 | Tie |
| 7 | Total |
| 8 | Probabilities |
| 9 | Decks |
| 10 | Player |
| 11 | Banker |
| 12 | Tie |