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Martingale Betting System

Introduction

Martingale Betting System

It's hard to argue against the fact that the Martingale betting system is among the oldest and most widely used strategies. Many gamblers get lured by its enticing promise of session wins. However, every gambler has a limited budget, and ultimately, the Martingale can deplete even the most substantial bankroll.

Rules

Below are the guidelines for utilizing the Martingale system.

  1. The Martingale strategy is typically applied to bets that offer even money.
  2. Begin by determining both your target profit and the size of your bankroll. The higher the proportion of your bankroll compared to your target profit, the more favorable your chances of succeeding in your betting session are.
  3. To simplify calculations, it's advisable that the ratio of your bankroll to your profit target be one less than a power of 2, such as 7, 15, 31, 63, 127, 255, and so forth.
  4. Your initial wager should reflect your desired winning amount.
  5. If your latest bet results in a win, congratulations, you've reached your target profit and can decide to stop.
  6. Conversely, if you lose your last bet, you should double the amount of your next wager, provided you have the means to do so.
  7. If you find yourself unable to double your wager due to insufficient funds, it's best to leave without any losses.

Put simply, keep increasing your previous bet until you score a win. As long as you can continue to double your bets, you will eventually realize your target profit. Regardless of how many losses occur before a win, you will reach your target exactly.

Let's examine a scenario involving a player who aims for a $100 profit while having a bankroll of $6,300.

  • His first bet is $100, which loses.
  • Their second wager is $200 but unfortunately results in a loss, bringing their total losses to $300.
  • They then place a third bet of $400, which also loses, leaving them down $700.
  • Next, they bet $800, which again results in a loss, totaling their losses to $1,500.
  • Subsequently, they bet $1,600 and lose, bringing their total losses to $3,100.
  • Finally, they place a bet of $3,200, which wins, returning them to an overall profit of $100.

I am unsure if there is an established protocol for a player who lacks sufficient funds to double their most recent losing wager but still has some remaining capital. However, it seems that many would opt to bet everything they have left, then continue playing betting either: (1) the needed amount to achieve a session win or (2) their remaining funds until one of these outcomes is realized.

What to Expect

The tables that follow illustrate potential outcomes based on different bet sizes and bankroll amounts. Each column is explained below.

  • Maximum Bets — This indicates the total number of losing bets you can afford.
  • Bankroll Units — This reflects the ratio between your bankroll and your target profit and is equivalent to 2.maximum bets- 1.
  • Probability of Success — This measures the likelihood of reaching your profit target.
  • Average Wins per Loss — This shows the expected number of wins a player can achieve between losses, assuming they reset after each session's outcome.
  • Probability of Doubling Bankroll — This statistic indicates the chances of effectively doubling the required bankroll before running out of money, assuming the player resets after every win.

The initial table considers the Player's bet in the game. Excluding ties, the Player bet has a winning probability of 49.317517%. baccarat Consider a player capable of making six consecutive losing bets. To achieve this, their bankroll would need to be 63 times their profit target. This scenario gives a probability of reaching the target profit of one unit at 98.3051%. If the player repeats this pattern, they can expect to win approximately 58 sessions for every 63-unit losing session. Notably, the 63-unit loss outweighs the average 58 wins. If the player persists until they double their bankroll, even if it takes one unit at a time, or until they go broke, they face a probability of 34.0634% for that doubling.

Baccarat — Player Bet

Maximum
Bets
Bankroll
Units
Probability
Success
Average Wins
per Loss
Probability
Doubling
Bankroll
3 7 0.869811 6.681152 0.376682
4 15 0.934017 14.155437 0.359188
5 31 0.966558 28.902712 0.348392
6 63 0.983051 58.000094 0.340634
7 127 0.991410 115.411214 0.334315
8 255 0.995646 228.687274 0.328694
9 511 0.997793 452.188677 0.323417
10 1023 0.998882 893.172207 0.318315

The next table is relevant to the pass bet in the game. The pass bet holds a winning probability of 244/495, which equals 49.292929%.

The subsequent table discusses the don't pass bet in the game, where the winning probability, excluding ties, stands at 949/1925, which accounts for 49.298701%. craps The following table pertains to any even money bet in the game, where the chance of winning is calculated to be 18/37, equating to 48.648649%.

Craps — Pass Bet

Maximum
Bets
Bankroll
Units
Probability
Success
Average Wins
per Loss
Probability
Doubling
Bankroll
3 7 0.869622 6.669984 0.376108
4 15 0.933889 14.126063 0.358450
5 31 0.966477 28.830284 0.347486
6 63 0.983001 57.828648 0.339557
7 127 0.991381 115.016656 0.333066
8 255 0.995629 227.797787 0.327272
9 511 0.997784 450.214759 0.321822
10 1023 0.998876 888.845840 0.316547

For Single-Zero Roulette with any Even Money Bet, the winning probability is established as 18/38, which translates to 47.368421%. craps Double-Zero Roulette — Any Even Money Bet

Craps — Don't Pass Bet

Maximum
Bets
Bankroll
Units
Probability
Success
Average Wins
per Loss
Probability
Doubling
Bankroll
3 7 0.869666 6.672603 0.376243
4 15 0.933919 14.132952 0.358623
5 31 0.966496 28.847268 0.347699
6 63 0.983013 57.868843 0.339810
7 127 0.991387 115.109141 0.333359
8 255 0.995633 228.006247 0.327606
9 511 0.997786 450.677280 0.322197
10 1023 0.998877 889.859390 0.316962

I encourage you to watch my video covering the Martingale strategy. single-zero roulette If you're looking to enhance your odds of winning during a session, the Martingale provides the best chances, albeit at the cost of shorter sessions (which might not be as enjoyable) and the potential for significant losses when luck is not on your side.

As with all betting systems, the Martingale will not eliminate the house edge; in fact, it won't even make a dent in it. The longer you play, the closer the expected ratio of losses to bets placed approaches the house edge. If you choose to utilize a betting system, opt for a free approach like the Martingale, as purchasing one is futile mathematically.

Maximum
Bets
Bankroll
Units
Probability
Success
Average Wins
per Loss
Probability
Doubling
Bankroll
3 7 0.864588 6.384896 0.361132
4 15 0.930464 13.381113 0.339231
5 31 0.964293 27.005325 0.323946
6 63 0.981664 53.536685 0.311640
7 127 0.990584 105.203019 0.300746
8 255 0.995165 205.816405 0.290553
9 511 0.997517 401.747736 0.280730
10 1023 0.998725 783.298223 0.271123

I encourage you to watch my video covering the Martingale strategy. double-zero roulette Providing mathematically sound strategies and insights for casino games like blackjack, craps, roulette, and countless others.

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Maximum
Bets
Bankroll
Units
Probability
Success
Average Wins
per Loss
Probability
Doubling
Bankroll
3 7 0.854206 5.859000 0.331848
4 15 0.923266 12.032100 0.301929
5 31 0.959614 23.760990 0.278607
6 63 0.978744 46.045881 0.258320
7 127 0.988813 88.387174 0.239598
8 255 0.994112 168.835630 0.221820
9 511 0.996901 321.687698 0.204736
10 1023 0.998369 612.106626 0.188263

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