On this page
Daniel Rainsong Challenge
Introduction
Between 1999 and 2005, I proposed a challenge where I would stake $20,000 against his $2,000, asserting that a betting system reliant on a casino game’s built-in advantage couldn’t survive a billion-hand simulation run by a computer. Further details can be found in the section on my website. betting systems I received numerous inquiries about this challenge, but discussions often fell apart due to issues of trust. A few individuals attempted to deceive me using different rule variations that favored the player. Nevertheless, in October 2004, I finally encountered a serious contender in Daniel Rainsong, who not only accepted the challenge but even suggested we increase the stakes.
Daniel Rainsong first reached out to me via email, showcasing a lot of confidence in overcoming my challenge. He traveled a considerable distance to conduct the challenge in person with me. One crucial condition for him was that if I were to lose, I would have to publish the results on my website and endorse his method, to which I consented. He preferred the term 'procedure' over 'system', leading us to engage in extensive discussions to carefully articulate our agreement in a notarized contract. We entrusted half of my $40,000 and all of Mr. Rainsong’s funds to a neutral third party—an experienced card counter with a statistics degree from U.C. Berkeley.
While the specifics of the procedure cannot be disclosed, I can clarify that it does not involve card counting and that the deck's penetration has no impact on it. The procedure can easily be implemented in any blackjack game and requires no special expertise. According to Mr. Rainsong, his method is founded on recent genetic research and has generated a profit of $8,215 after 33,000 hands of actual casino play, starting with a bet of just $1.
We negotiated the blackjack rules repeatedly and ultimately settled on the following, which are among the most favorable you can find:
- 2 decks
- Dealer stands on soft 17
- Double after split allowed
- Player may resplit to 4 hands
- No surrender options, resplitting of aces, or any other atypical rules.
- The dealer will place the cut card approximately 75% into the shoe.
Under these specified rules, the house edge is calculated to be 0.26%. My findings indicate that under these conditions, the house edge is actually 0.1943%, although a particular aspect adds an additional 0.063% to that figure. These are some of the most competitive rules available, and very few casinos offer such advantageous terms. As indicated in my research, a betting spread ranging from 1 to 1024 units was permitted over one billion consecutive initial bets. house edge calculator Mr. Rainsong also presented me with the option to surrender half of my $40,000 stake prior to any computation. He seemed confident that there was a solid chance I would take this offer. However, after the details of the procedure were laid out, I declined the chance without second thoughts. cut card effect On October 21, 2004, my simulator was ready for use, and Mr. Rainsong arrived at my home early to initiate the testing. I explained that processing one billion hands would take about 14 hours, and I offered to share a sample of the simulation results as we progressed through a test run of ten million hands. During this test, the simulation indicated it showed profitability only until hand #168621; beyond that, the bankroll steadily declined. By the end of the ten million hands, it became evident that there was no chance of recovery, leading Mr. Rainsong to concede the challenge. challenge Here are the final findings following the ten million-hand trial:
The last point at which the bankroll was either positive or break-even occurred at hand #168621.
I want to express my gratitude to Mr. Rainsong for his exemplary sportsmanship. Many individuals who claim to have figured out how to win against a game with a built-in advantage avoid computer simulations and external validation, akin to Dracula’s aversion to a crucifix. I have immense respect for Mr. Rainsong for pursuing an independent expert review of his procedure. Additionally, I appreciate and respect the fact that he accepted the results without dispute and quickly settled his obligation after conceding the challenge. As a former Marine, I believe he epitomizes the integrity that the Marine Corps represents.
Mr. Rainsong has requested that I mention his book, which may occasionally be available on certain platforms. However, it is important to clarify that I do not endorse it. He can also be reached for inquiries via email at rainsongresearch(at)aol.com.
- Initial hands played: 10,000,000
- Total amount bet: 10,357,394 units
- Final balance: -30,381.5 units
- Access mathematically sound strategies and insights for various casino games such as blackjack, craps, roulette, and countless others.
- Return of procedure: -0.2933%
Please check your inbox and click on the link we sent you to finalize your registration.
Explore the Top Online Casinos Available in Your Region amazon Calculator for Estimating Lottery Jackpot Ticket Sales