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Ask The Wizard #65

During my recent visit to Treasure Island in Las Vegas, I came across an intriguing game named Triple Shot. This unique game combines elements of War, Blackjack, and a variant of Poker known as 6 card stud. I found it fascinating, but I'm eager to learn all the rules and how the payout system works. Could you assist me? Additionally, are there any other casinos on the Vegas Strip that feature this game?

Kara from Castaic, California

I have noticed it as well, and thankfully I made some notes. The gameplay resembles Three Way Action the games that were once popular at the Las Vegas Club. In Triple Shot, players can place three different types of bets: a standard blackjack bet, a poker hand bet, and a war bet. I'm not entirely sure if the poker wager depends on the player's hand or the dealer's, but the best five out of six cards are utilized for this. If the blackjack hand isn't six cards, it will be supplemented to ensure a total of six. The odds for the poker wager indicate a house edge of 3.20%.

Triple Shot

Hand Combinations Probability Pays Return
Royal flush 376 0.000018 100 to 1 0.001847
Straight flush 1468 0.000072 30 to 1 0.002163
Four of a kind 14664 0.000720 15 to 1 0.010804
Full house 165984 0.008153 7 to 1 0.057071
Flush 205792 0.010108 5 to 1 0.050542
Straight 361620 0.017763 4 to 1 0.071050
Three of a kind 732160 0.035963 3 to 1 0.107890
Two pair 2532816 0.124411 2 to 1 0.248821
Pair 2252472 0.110640 1 to 1 0.110640
Nothing 14091168 0.692151 -1 to 1 -0.692151
Total 20358520 1 -0.031321

There’s also the war game mechanic, where the player's initial card is compared to the dealer's face-up card, with the highest card winning. If the cards tie, the player forfeits half their bet. The house edge in the war game stands at 2.94%. I’m unaware of any other casinos currently offering this game; it appears to be in a trial phase exclusively at Treasure Island.

Do the gaming machines that accept five, ten, and twenty-five dollar bets provide slightly better returns? I've had a bit more luck with them compared to the quarter machines, which tend to consume a twenty-dollar bill quite quickly.

Mario from Troy, New York

Typically, machines that accept higher denominations deliver better payout rates, but my own observations have revealed exceptions—particularly, I've seen dollar machines that yielded lower returns than quarter machines.

I just received a promotional email from Casino Grand Bay and successfully downloaded their software. However, I couldn’t find the bonus requirement details. According to bet2gamble.com, the casino requires players to wager 1x their deposit to unlock the bonus, followed by a 7x wager on the bonus itself before any withdrawals can occur. If this information is accurate, it seems like an attractive offer. Yet, I read that playing Blackjack does not count towards meeting the bonus requirements. What game should I choose to minimize the risk of losing both the bonus and my deposit?

Joe from Ramona, USA

If blackjack was the only game excluded, I would suggest trying craps. However, many online casinos disallow craps to prevent players from betting on both the pass and don’t pass lines simultaneously, allowing them to earn bonuses with minimal risk. I would consider video poker next. Casino Grand Bay, being a Microgaming casino, offers Jacks or Better video poker, which, when played with optimal strategy, has a return rate of 99.54%. Therefore, I would opt for that game. If this were another casino with poorer video poker options, I might suggest playing baccarat, always betting on the banker. intermediate strategy When you play video poker and draw the first five cards, are the next five cards predetermined, or do they get decided when you hit the draw button?

The result of the draw is predetermined. Once you press 'deal' the first time, both the initial draw and the following cards are selected.

Joe from Las Vegas, USA

How does a 6-5 payout on blackjack increase the house edge?

The impact of this rule is influenced by the number of decks in play. I have only encountered this rule in single-deck games, so we'll use that assumption. The chance of getting a blackjack in a single-deck game is calculated as 2*(4/52)*(16/51)=0.0483. The dealer’s probability of not having a blackjack when the player does is 1-2*(3/50)*(15/49) = 0.963265. This leads to a probability of the player holding a blackjack while the dealer does not as 0.046492. Each occurrence of this situation allows the casino to keep an additional 0.3 units, resulting in an increase of about 1.39% to the house edge. This makes it one of the least favorable blackjack variations in Las Vegas.

Barabbas from Las Vegas, USA

Hello, Wizard. Your site is fantastic! In double zero roulette, I understand that all bets have an equivalent high house edge, but since I'm wrapping up a statistics course, I noticed that not every bet shares the same standard deviations. For instance, a $1 stake on Red has a standard deviation of 1.012019, while a $1 bet on a specific number shows an S.D. of 5.839971 based on my calculations. Consequently, the expected probabilities of winning over trials of 1, 100, and 10,000 respectively are 0.4793, 0.3015, and 0.0000 for even-money bets, and 0.4964, 0.4641, and 0.1837 for single number bets. Is my assessment accurate? (I assumed normality in my calculations) Thank you!

I appreciate your kind words. To clarify, the standard deviation for any even-money bet is actually 0.998614, while for a single number bet it is 5.762617. The probabilities of finishing ahead with flat betting on even-money bets over 1, 100, and 10,000 spins stand at 0.473684, 0.265023, and 0.00000007 respectively. For single number bets, the probabilities are 0.0263158, 0.491567, and 0.18053280. It seems you are trying to assert that single number bets are superior due to their better likelihood of yielding a profit across many trials. While this may be true, it's equally important to acknowledge that the potential for significant losses is also much higher. Over the course of a session, results tend to fall along a bell curve. Low variance bets like red or black create a sharp bell curve, indicating that outcomes will not deviate far from minor losses, whereas high variance bets such as single numbers produce a wider bell curve, allowing for a broader range of potential outcomes, including substantial gains or losses.

Mike from Toronto, Canada

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