WOO logo

Ask The Wizard #55

I’ve recently found myself on a restricted list, which prevents me from accessing casinos. Could you explain how my name ended up on this list and what steps I can take to have it removed? I appreciate your guidance.

Brian from Milpitas, USA

I can't provide you with specific details about your situation since I do not have access to the blacklists myself. Typically, one of the quickest ways to land on such a list is by initiating a chargeback. This occurs when someone makes a purchase with a credit card, spends the money at a casino, and subsequently contests the charges. Internet casinos take chargebacks very seriously and often share information about players who have done this, regardless of the circumstances. Additionally, there are blacklists for those who exploit bonuses, but these are less commonly circulated. Once you are listed, it becomes quite difficult to rectify the situation. Currently, the online gambling industry lacks significant regulation, so there isn’t a higher authority to address these issues.

What are the odds of rolling a single die to land on one when three dice are thrown simultaneously? I thought it would be a 50% chance (1/6 + 1/6 + 1/6 = 1/2, which suggests 50%). However, your odds table indicates only 34.72%. Could you clarify this for me?

John C. from Singapore

When throwing three dice, the chance of rolling exactly one 'one' is calculated as 3 times the probability of not hitting any with the other two, which is calculated as 3 * (5/6).2*(1/6) = 75/216 = 34.72%.

In Caribbean Stud, are there situations where raising with anything less than an Ace or King is advisable? For instance, if I have an Ace or King that matches the dealer's upcard, does that lower his chances of getting a pair or a higher card?

George from Boston, USA

No, it's a strict guideline—never raise in Caribbean Stud Poker with a hand lower than Ace and King.

What table game presents the best odds for winning and is accessible for someone new to gambling? I appreciate your assistance.

Dave from Port St. Lucie

For someone with no prior experience in casinos and looking for an easy game, baccarat would be a great start. I recommend betting on the banker every time.

What are the chances of a red number appearing 18 consecutive times on a Roulette wheel?

Doug from Eugene, USA

(18/38)18 = 1 in 693745.

Hello, which casinos in Las Vegas are known for offering the best blackjack experiences? Is there a resource or website where I can find a list of these casinos along with their blackjack rules? Thank you for any help!

Daryl from Buffalo, USA

I usually use Blackjack Conditions and Specials To find out where the best blackjack games are located in Las Vegas, many say that Caesars Palace offers the finest basic strategy game, featuring a double deck with options to double down on any two cards, a dealer standing on soft 17, and late surrender, resulting in a house edge of just 0.13%.

Hello! I really enjoy your website. My preferred game in Atlantic City is triple action blackjack. I was wondering if you have a strategy chart specifically for that game, and if the strategies can vary. For instance, I typically choose to stand with 16 against a dealer face card since I find they often bust. Let me know, thanks!

Brian from West Hartford, USA

For those unfamiliar, Triple Action Blackjack is a variation where the dealer plays out three distinct hands, all starting with the same up card. Players make three separate bets, playing their single hand against each of the dealer's three hands. The strategy matches that of traditional blackjack.

Mr. Wizard, your website is fantastic! The other night, while playing Blackjack, my friends and I were quite generous with tips for the dealer. We broke even after about an hour. Later, while I was playing Deuces Wild Poker, the same dealer came to assist, and I tipped him again. I ended up with a Wild Royal worth around $1600 and shortly after hit a straight flush for another significant win. My question is, since it was a single deck and I was the only player with the dealer shuffling the cards himself, could he have potentially manipulated the deck because of my generous tipping?

Mike from Jacksonville, USA

It's commendable that you tipped so well. The Wizard encourages tippers who receive good service. I am almost certain that you simply got lucky. If the dealer had any intention of cheating, he likely would have coordinated with an accomplice to secure those big wins and later split the earnings. There have been stories of dealers who overpay generous tippers, provided those tippers are willing to return a portion of the excess as well. However, I do not endorse any dishonest practices.

In a single-deck video poker game, what are the odds of achieving four of a kind when only holding one card initially? This occurred to me last weekend when I ended up with four Aces and four Kings starting from one of each. I'm aware that holding a pair and drawing the other two for a quad has odds of 360 to one, but I’ve not seen the odds listed for drawing three cards to complete a four of a kind.

Gary from Milwaukee, USA

Let's say you hold the ace of spades while discarding four other non-ace cards. There are 44 possible combinations that can lead to achieving four of a kind in Aces. These 44 represent the various singletons you could draw along with the other three Aces (52 cards, subtracting the four Aces and the discarded four different cards). Additionally, you can also achieve four of a kind with any of the other eight ranks excluding Aces and the four you've discarded. So, the total number of ways to make four of a kind in one deal sums up to 44 + 8 = 52. The total combinations available on the deal are calculated as combin(47,4) = 178365. Hence, the likelihood of making a four of a kind stands at 52/178365 = 1 in 3430.

My Grandmother was born on October 28, 1912, and she unfortunately passed away on October 28, 2001, which happened to be her 89th birthday. My cousin inquired about the statistical chances of such an event happening. I know there's roughly a 1 in 365 probability of someone dying on any given day of the year, but what are the odds of that particular day coinciding with someone’s birthday?

Loren from Petersburg, Alaska

Had you asked me this question while I was still an actuary for the Social Security Administration, I could have conducted a nationwide analysis of death records. However, I would approximate the odds to be about 1 in 365. The actual probability might be slightly lower due to higher infant mortality rates during the first year. For males born in 2000, the death probability within the first year is approximately 0.71%, and for females, it is about 0.59%. Therefore, those infant deaths are less likely to occur on birthdays, as once the first birthday is reached, the child is no longer in a high-risk category. Additionally, while I'm not certain, there was a discussion on the show 'Six Feet Under' suggesting that funeral home businesses experience a surge in January, possibly because many try to hold on for one more holiday season before passing. The same rationale might apply to reaching a birthday; for example, George Burns passed away only 48 days after turning 100.