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Ask The Wizard #334

Your objective is to navigate from square 0 to square 19. Remember, you cannot follow a path of the same color consecutively. This means that each square requires you to switch to a different colored path. U-turns are not allowed. Can you figure out the answer?

Puzzle by David Pleacher.

Gialmere

I motivate my audience to attempt solving this puzzle independently. However, if you're struggling, feel free to press the solution button located below.

Here is one possible solution: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 17, 18, 12, 11, 18, 17, 9, 8, 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1, 15, 14, 13, 19.

The trick lies in realizing that a u-turn can be made in the triangle formed by points 11, 12, and 18. To find the solution, you should move along the outer circle in a counter-clockwise direction until you return to square 1. From there, transition to the inner circle and continue clockwise to reach square 18. Then, make a u-turn to return back to 18 and retrace your steps to square 1. After that, the route to square 19 becomes straightforward.

The numbers A, B, C, and D are all unique positive whole numbers.

A < B < C < D

Find the largest D so that

1/A + 1/B + 1/C + 1/D = 1

Gialmere

The answer is 42. A, B, and C are 2, 3, and 7.

1/2 + 1/3 + 1/7 + 1/42 = 1.

This topic is discussed within my forum, available at Wizard of Vegas .

During a televised Town Hall event on October 15, 2020, President Trump claimed that 85% of individuals wearing masks contract the coronavirus. Is that accurate? Please take a look at the video below, as he mentions the 85% statistic at the 45-second mark.

redietz

The 85% statistic is derived from the chart found on page four of the report. Community and Close Contact Exposures Related to COVID-19 Among Symptomatic Adults Aged 18 and Older in 11 Outpatient Healthcare Settings — United States, July 2020 produced by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Here’s the referenced table.

I have outlined the important figures for you below.

Table Description: Features of symptomatic adults aged 18 and over who were seen as outpatients in 11 academic healthcare facilities and received positive or negative SARS-CoV-2 test results (N = 314)* — United States, July 1–29, 2020.

Here are the details for the 153* patients who tested positive.

Patients Who Tested Positive

Characteristic Case Patients Percentage
Never 6 3.9%
Rarely 6 3.9%
Sometimes 11 7.2%
Often 22 14.4%
Always 108 70.6%
Total 153 100.0%

These statistics pertain to the 159* patients who tested negative.

Patients Who Tested Negative

Characteristic Case Patients Percentage
Never 5 3.1%
Rarely 6 3.8%
Sometimes 7 4.4%
Often 23 14.5%
Always 118 74.2%
Total 159 100.0%

*One individual in each table did not provide a response.

Referring back to the positive cases table, when you tally the individuals who frequently or always wore masks, the total is 130. Of the 153 who tested positive, this amounts to 130 out of 153, equating to 85%.

Conversely, for those who tested negative, the statistic is (23+118)/159 = 141/159 = 89%.

However, as someone with a math background and experience as an actuary, I must firmly assert that this is a significant misinterpretation. As I've reiterated numerous times, correlation does not imply causation. It is also absurd to suggest that 85% of mask wearers 'contract the virus.' If 85% of Americans wear masks frequently or always, and if then 85% of them 'catch it,' this would imply that infection rates would potentially be (85%)² = 72.55%. In all probability, the actual rate might be even higher due to infections among non-mask wearers. At the moment, there are 8,617,022 confirmed cases, with a US population of 328.2 million, which translates to 2.63% of the total population—a stark contrast to 72.55%. Source: CDC This scenario resembles the misinterpretation that 74.2% of NBA players are African American, and consequently inferring that 74.2% of African Americans must be NBA players.

If my explanation isn't clear, the following segment from KHOU news in Houston further clarifies the origin of the 85% statistic. source: statsta At what point will the national debt reach a staggering one quadrillion dollars?

First, let’s clarify for my readers that a quadrillion signifies a million billion, or a thousand trillion.

This topic is discussed within my forum, available at Wizard of Vegas .

Looking at the current national debt as of November 1, 2020, according to available data, it stands at $22.719 trillion, up from $5.656 trillion in 1999.

OdiosGambit

In the span of 20 years, this debt has surged at an annual growth rate of 7.2%. At this same growth rate, it is projected that the national debt will hit one quadrillion dollars by the year 2073.

Accurate mathematical approaches and insights for various casino games, including blackjack, craps, roulette, and many more. The Balance Please check your email and click on the link we have sent you to finalize your registration.

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