Ask The Wizard #282

Probability of a pocket pair = 13* combin (4,2)/combin(52,2) = 5.88%.
Probability of AK = 4²/combin(52,2)= 1.21%.
Probability of either = 5.88% + 1.21% = 7.09%.
The chance of not getting either of these premium hands is 100% minus 7.09%, totaling 92.91%.
The likelihood of securing at least one of these hands in 161 deals can be calculated as 161 multiplied by 0.9291.¹⁶⁰*0.0709¹= 1 in 11,268.

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I propose that the answer is that it will indicate a lower weight. I believe this happens because as the cork rises, the center of gravity shifts downwards, given that cork is less dense than water. Therefore, the balance measures the force exerted on it, and as the center of gravity descends, less force acts on the scale.

This question is being discussed at my forum located at Wizard of Vegas .

I'm going to take for granted that the odds stand at 25 to 1, which can be found on the half-point card available at the Golden Nugget, South Point, and William Hill. sports book families .

The chart below illustrates the line you've received alongside the market price line.

To start off, the likelihood of an underdog surpassing the spread is estimated to be 51.6%. This translates into a fair line of -106.6 for the underdog. Thus, you gain 6.6 basis points on the underdogs while losing them on the favorites.

Second, my table on buying a half point in the NFL It details the fair cost associated with each additional half point. For instance, acquiring that extra half point from the number 3 is valued at laying -121.4, which corresponds to 21.4 basis points.

The chart illustrates how many basis points you're capitalizing on. For the Bears, I doubled the basis points for the 1 and 2 outcomes because crossing those thresholds turns a loss into a win.

Subsequently, the table converts the total basis points into a winning probability. The formula used is p = (100+b)/(200+b), where p signifies the probability of winning and b represents the basis points.

The last row computes the product of each segment winning, leading to a parlay winning probability of 0.046751. With odds of 25 to 1, this bet anticipates a return calculated as 0.046751*25-1=0.168783, reflecting a 16.9% edge. Kudos to you!

The table below lays out the options available, the odds they offer, the winning probabilities based on fair bet assumptions, and the adjusted probabilities ensuring equal house advantage for each bet.

The anticipated overall return is the reciprocal of the total of the fair probabilities. Notably, this sum amounts to 1.733465, which means the overall expected return is 1/1.733465 = 57.69%. Therefore, the house edge would be 100% - 56.69% = 42.31%.

The following table illustrates potential outcomes assuming the player is not banking and adheres to the Trump Plaza house rules. The bottom right cell indicates a player advantage of 16.09%.