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Ask The Wizard #248
Which video poker game offers the best odds in Las Vegas?
From what I understand, the video poker game with the highest payout percentage in Vegas is the 101.60% 5¢ variant. Loose Deuces This machine can be found on the second floor, adjacent to the sports book area.
Note: This information was accurate when it was written. However, that particular machine is no longer there. For updates on the current top video poker machine in Las Vegas, check my Ask the Wizard #292 How likely are two bingo cards from the same session to be the same?
The likelihood depends on the total number of cards used. If we consider 'c' as the total cards in play, an estimation for the chance of having at least one pair of matching cards is 1 minus e raised to the power of -c/number of possible unique cards. For instance, in a typical Vegas bingo session featuring 10,000 cards, the chances of finding at least one matching pair is roughly 1 in 47,000. To achieve a 50% probability of a matching pair, you'd need around 330 million cards.
Recently, I was at a casino in London where they introduced 'Egalite' bets in baccarat. These bets are placed on the likelihood of the banker and player tying at a certain total. Here’s how the payouts work:(-c/471,000,000)How much of an advantage does the house have regarding these bets?
The house advantage varies, starting from 6.39% for a tie at 7, and going up to 12.45% for a tie at 0. I detail the winning probabilities and expected returns for all ten types of bets in my
- 0=150-1
- 1=215-1
- 2=225-1
- 3=200-1
- 4=120-1
- 5=110-1
- 6=45-1
- 7=45-1
- 8=80-1
- 9=80-1
What are the chances of successfully executing an onside kick in the NFL before the fourth quarter? The Saints' move during the Super Bowl was incredibly clever, but did their coach rely on statistics, or was it more instinctual? baccarat page .
Based on an insightful article from advancedfootballanalytics.com, the historical success rate for onside kicks stands at 26%. However, since most teams are prepared for a standard onside kick, the success chances decrease. For unexpected onside kicks, the success rate jumps to an impressive 60%! The article suggests that utilizing surprise onside kicks more frequently could be a smart strategy. I concur; the Saints' decision was a stroke of genius. Wizard of Vegas .
Which video poker game has the best frequency of hitting winning hands?
If we define a win of 1 as a 'hit' (even if it’s technically just a push), the video poker game with the highest hitting frequency appears to be
Based on an insightful article from advancedfootballanalytics.com, the historical success rate for onside kicks stands at 26%. However, since most teams are prepared for a standard onside kick, the success chances decrease. For unexpected onside kicks, the success rate jumps to an impressive 60%! The article suggests that utilizing surprise onside kicks more frequently could be a smart strategy. I concur; the Saints' decision was a stroke of genius. Wizard of Vegas .
. Its pay table, with a 99.07% return, showcases a hit frequency of 50.38%. Below is a comparison of the hit frequencies for various games. Just in case you’re curious, the game with the lowest hit frequency is
Analysis of Video Poker Returns and Hit Frequencies Deuces and Joker Wild Strategically sound techniques and insights for playing casino games like blackjack, craps, roulette, and countless others. Royal Aces Bonus Poker at 30.09%, which starts paying at a pair of aces.
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| Game | Return | Hit Frequency |
| Deuces and joker wild | 0.990675 | 0.503768 |
| Tens or better | 0.991390 | 0.494518 |
| Bonus Poker | 0.991660 | 0.455145 |
| Jacks or Better | 0.995439 | 0.454565 |
| Double Double Bonus | 0.989808 | 0.447163 |
| Deuces wild | 0.994179 | 0.442807 |
| Joker poker | 0.984425 | 0.441435 |
| Double Bonus | 0.991065 | 0.431893 |
| One-eyed jacks | 0.989562 | 0.370122 |
| Royal aces | 0.991981 | 0.300874 |