Ask The Wizard #154

I just updated my Sport Betting Appendix 4 I suggest incorporating Millennium's teaser options and utilizing newer statistics as well. Here’s the house edge related to teasers, including the odds from Millennium, specifying whether the selection is a team or a total.

To address your inquiry, to successfully navigate the 6-point teaser, your overall winning probability needs to exceed 50%. Hence, the chance of each individual pick covering the tease must be the square root of 0.5, which comes out to approximately 70.71%. For a 6.5-point teaser, the winning probability for each bet would need to be about 52.38%, or 0.5238.^0.5=72.37% per pick.

I'm quite knowledgeable about this subject. There exist 134,459 distinct five-card combinations. My understanding derives from my initial video poker program, which examined all 2,598,960 possible hands over several days. However, by merely analyzing one of each of the 134,459 unique hand categories, weighted according to the total number of hands in that category, you can reduce the processing time by 95%. Occasionally, when a game requires specific suits, like in my recent analysis, I find it necessary to dust off my old program and revert to the lengthy method. Black Jack Bonus Poker Wizard, I have been reviewing your website as I prepare for my upcoming trip to Las Vegas since it's the ultimate gambling resource out there. Your analysis regarding when to stand with a 16 against a dealer's 10 caught my interest. As someone who enjoys math, I aim to maximize my chances, but I also recognize the marginal improvement. Like many players following basic strategy, I've always hit a 16 against a dealer's 10 when I'm holding a 2, 3, 4, or 5. I'm curious, now that this has been brought to your attention, have you modified your approach to secure that 'one unit every five years', or do you stick with hitting the 16 as before? Thank you for all your contributions!

In typical blackjack scenarios, players should indeed split 8s when facing a dealer's 10 or ace. Yet, if the dealer inadvertently reveals both cards, displaying a total of 10 or 11, the player is advised to hit against a 10 but stand against an 11. This adjustment is made because when the dealer has a 10 or an ace showing, by the time it’s your turn, it’s clear he does not hold blackjack, having peeked at his hole card for verification. Hence, players can adopt a more aggressive playstyle. Conversely, if both of the dealer's cards are visible and total 10 or 11, the risk remains that the dealer could draw an ace or a ten, yielding a total of 21, suggesting a more cautious approach.

I'm thrilled to see your return as you help to transform lives one mathematically challenged inquiry at a time. I have a mix of a relationship and a probability question: A colleague has spent his entire gambling life becoming frustrated with the player's actions at the third base position in blackjack, insisting they negatively impact his odds whenever they fail to adhere to basic strategy. He believes that 'bad' players are detrimental to his chances. I firmly believe that his odds remain unchanged regardless of who else is at the table. I've attempted to explain that he tends to remember the instances when their actions hurt him while overlooking the situations where they benefited him. Mathematically, his odds are identical whether he’s at a table filled with players who never hit, those who never stand, or those playing perfect basic strategy. How can I convince him of his misunderstanding? Should I even keep trying? If he acknowledges his error, he would have to confront the fact that he has unjustly criticized numerous players at blackjack tables when they weren't impacting anyone but themselves (and in certain cases, they were possibly aiding their own chances by adjusting their strategy). Don't you think that casinos would become more enjoyable if individuals truly grasped that my actions with my blackjack hand do not affect their odds in the long-term?

My boyfriend and I have been in a relationship for a year and eight months. He relocated about eight months ago, and we've endured a long-distance relationship since then. Regrettably, he has already cheated on me once while living here and again once he moved to Colorado. After discovering his infidelity, we broke up, yet he proceeded to engage sexually with another woman, and I forgave him for that. Now he asserts that he doesn’t want to make the same mistake again. Should I trust that, or is it inevitable that he will cheat again?

In two different areas of your site, it’s stated that generally, it is more advantageous to wager on underdogs rather than favorites concerning the money line. Yet, as pointed out in your Sports Betting Appendix 3, the house edge is lower when betting on the favorite. Isn't this contradictory? Isn't it generally true that for any type of bet, one should seek out the lowest house edge?

My boyfriend and I discovered that I'm pregnant about two months ago. We’ve been together for three and a half years, and since the announcement, he has been spending nearly every night at his best friend's house until the early hours of the morning. He hardly speaks to me unless necessary, and often doesn’t share the same bed with me unless that happens to be the place where he falls asleep. It feels like he’s deliberately ignoring me. When I questioned him about infidelity, he denied it, but considering that his father and brother are known cheaters, I'm left wondering: do you think he might be cheating on me?

I would like to know about the house edge in blackjack after applying a 10% rebate on losses. Are the house edges the same for both 6-deck and 8-deck games?

Accurate mathematical strategies and information regarding casino games such as blackjack, craps, roulette, and many others are available for your reference.

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