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Ask The Wizard #146
I appreciate your detailed article. I've been using the \"Fun\" mode to sharpen my fundamental skills online (specifically at Golden Palace and Grand Online Casino). I usually perform quite well in this mode, but I find myself quickly losing when I switch to the \"Real\" mode, even with the same strategy. Is it possible that online casinos adjust the randomness of their software in \"Fun\" mode to create a winning streak, only to tempt us into wagering real money? blackjack You're welcome! It's uncommon for online casinos to deliberately allow players to win in free play mode. I remember that the Elka casinos had a reputation for this (which I was quite critical of), but fortunately, they seem to have disappeared. If anyone has concrete proof that a casino is intentionally letting players win in fun mode, I would gladly look into it. By concrete proof, I mean at least a record of hands for both modes over several dozen games. Just saying you lost \"significantly more\" in real mode isn't sufficient. Real Money I’m interested in playing online for free. Do these websites use your login details for marketing purposes? I'm looking for one that doesn’t. I have a particular fondness for the nine-line Cleopatra game, but the online versions I’ve encountered don’t match up (at least those I've found). What would be the best no-strings-attached website for playing just for enjoyment?
Yes, if you share your email with a casino, you can expect to receive marketing emails from them. However, reputable casinos will cease communication if you request it. On the other hand, less trustworthy casinos will not only promote themselves but may also distribute your email to third parties. For example, NetGaming sold my information to spam marketers in the adult industry. However, Bodog allows you to play without providing your email, as do other Wager Works sites like Hard Rock Casino. By the way, my webmaster has created a new page focusing on tackling casino spam. He shares his experiences with casino-related spam on VegasClick.com. I've never come across Cleopatra in an online setting; it's not common for online casinos to feature the same slots you find in physical casinos. blacklisted Imagine you have three dice: two standard six-sided dice and one die where every side shows a six. All three dice are kept in my pocket. When I randomly select one and roll it, the result is a six. What is the likelihood that the selected die was one of the standard six-sided ones that have different values?
Let B represent the event of rolling a six with the die that I chose at random.
The probability is calculated as Pr(A given B) = Pr(A and B) / Pr(B) = ((2/3)*(1/6)) / ((2/3)*(1/6)+(1/3)*1) = (2/18) / ((2/18)+(6/18)) = 1/4. Casino Meister I really appreciate the assistance your website has provided me. You've potentially saved me a significant amount of money. Recently, while participating in an online NL tournament, I was dealt pocket kings at a 10-person table, only to find myself overshadowed by another player holding pocket aces. I’m curious to know the probability, given that I have a pair, of at least one other competitor at the table also having a superior pair (essentially, a dominating pair). Thanks once more!
The table below presents estimated probabilities that a pair can be beaten by a higher one, depending on the number of players (including yourself). Keep in mind that these probabilities are approximations because hands are not independent events. However, calculating exact probabilities can get quite complex, so I believe these figures are fairly close. My formula to derive this is 1-(1-r*..., where r signifies the number of ranks that are higher than your pair, and n represents the total number of players. According to the table, if you hold a pair of kings in a game with 10 players, the probability of another player having a pair of aces is approximately 4.323%.
Let A = Choosing the normal die
Likelihood of Your Pair Being Beaten by a Higher Pair
I've been looking into Casino Bar because they're currently offering an attractive bonus. I came across your assertion that their software mimics the effect of \"dealing seconds\"; however, I noticed that your information hasn't been updated in about two years. I wanted to check if there have been any changes regarding that. I assume you would have revised the page if anything substantive had shifted, but I thought it best to ask. Where can I find a basic strategy sheet for a casino that engages in dealing seconds? (The bonus may or may not still be active.) Am I accurate in estimating that the house edge in such a situation is close to 5%? If it truly is, I might as well just go play Tricard Poker. Thank you for offering such an excellent resource. Do you accept donations?
When I discover a casino isn’t operating fairly, I usually don’t return to check if they’ve improved. Sometimes I might if the casino requests it and I suspect the issue was unintentional. Below is a basic strategy based on infinite decks, where the dealer stands on soft 17 and employs the practice of dealing seconds. By dealing seconds, I mean that if the third card would cause the dealer to bust, it is skipped and the subsequent card is drawn, regardless of its value. Otherwise, the game proceeds as usual. The house edge in this scenario would be about 9.3%. I once asked for donations, but since the response was minimal, I stopped. Now, advertising revenue comfortably supports the site. Texas Hold 'em When playing video poker, will inserting a $50 bill decrease my chances of winning compared to using $5 or $10 increments?
No, the amount you choose to insert or the denomination does not affect the probabilities. This applies similarly to slot machines. combin (4,2)/combin(50,2))(n-1)In the October edition of Casino Player magazine, Frank Scoblete authored an article discussing controlled dice shooting, in which you claimed to have lost $1800 to Stanford Wong, who rolled only 74 sevens over 500 rolls. Why would you place bets based on such a limited sample size (500 rolls)? A person who asserts they can control the dice should ideally be able to demonstrate their expertise over at least 50,000 rolls. Am I mistaken in believing that 500 rolls is an insufficient sample, leading to unpredictable outcomes?
I lost that $1800 to a different gambling writer, not Stanford. I would have preferred to have more rolls as evidence, but time constraints were apparent. Assuming I'd roll once per minute, it would take roughly 34.7 days to get to 50,000 rolls. I didn’t decide on the count of 500; it seemed like a reasonable compromise between having a sufficiently large sample and time limitations. You are correct that 500 is too few to convincingly support or dispute claims about influencing the dice, but it's certainly better than having no rolls at all.
| Pair | 2 Pl. | 3 Pl. | 4 Pl. | 5 Pl. | 6 Pl. | 7 Pl. | 8 Pl. | 9 Pl. | 10 Pl. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KK | 0.49% | 0.977% | 1.462% | 1.945% | 2.425% | 2.903% | 3.379% | 3.852% | 4.323% |
| 0.98% | 1.95% | 2.91% | 3.861% | 4.803% | 5.735% | 6.659% | 7.573% | 8.479% | |
| JJ | 1.469% | 2.917% | 4.344% | 5.749% | 7.134% | 8.499% | 9.843% | 11.168% | 12.473% |
| TT | 1.959% | 3.88% | 5.763% | 7.609% | 9.42% | 11.194% | 12.934% | 14.64% | 16.312% |
| 99 | 2.449% | 4.838% | 7.168% | 9.442% | 11.66% | 13.823% | 15.934% | 17.992% | 20.001% |
| 88 | 2.939% | 5.791% | 8.56% | 11.247% | 13.855% | 16.387% | 18.844% | 21.229% | 23.544% |
| 77 | 3.429% | 6.74% | 9.937% | 13.025% | 16.007% | 18.887% | 21.668% | 24.353% | 26.947% |
| 66 | 3.918% | 7.683% | 11.301% | 14.776% | 18.115% | 21.324% | 24.407% | 27.369% | 30.215% |
| 55 | 4.408% | 8.622% | 12.65% | 16.501% | 20.181% | 23.7% | 27.063% | 30.279% | 33.352% |
| 44 | 4.898% | 9.556% | 13.986% | 18.199% | 22.205% | 26.016% | 29.64% | 33.086% | 36.363% |
| 33 | 5.388% | 10.485% | 15.308% | 19.871% | 24.188% | 28.273% | 32.137% | 35.794% | 39.253% |
| 22 | 5.878% | 11.41% | 16.617% | 21.517% | 26.13% | 30.472% | 34.559% | 38.405% | 42.025% |
If you roll six dice just a single time, what are the chances of obtaining a result of 6,6,6,6,1, and 4 in any combination?
There are 6!/(4!*1!*1!) = 30 permutations for arranging these numbers in any order. Another way to approach this is to recognize there are six spots for placing the 1 and five remaining spots for the 4, leading to a total of 6*5=30 arrangements. The probability of achieving 666614 in that specific sequence is one in 6, which converts to 1 in 46656. When you multiply that by 30 for the number of possible arrangements, the outcome is 30/46656 = 0.0643%, or about 1 in 1552.2.
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I appreciate your insightful article. I've been utilizing the 'Fun' mode to hone my skills6in basic strategy while playing online at Golden Palace and Grand Online Casino. I usually perform quite well in the fun mode, but when switching to the 'Real' mode, I start losing swiftly while using the same technique. Is there a chance that casinos alter the software's randomness in 'Fun' mode to encourage wins, merely to lure us into depositing actual cash?