Ask The Wizard #142

Thank you for your thoughtful message. I always appreciate feedback from high school math educators since I was once on the path to becoming one myself. Based on my discussions with industry insiders and reviewing payout sheets, I'm confident that if alternative prizes are revealed at the conclusion of a bonus round, the game operates fairly. This implies that the prizes are assigned randomly, and what appears at the end accurately reflects their allocation. Conversely, in instances where alternative rewards aren't displayed, the odds resemble those of a prize wheel, typically favoring lower payouts for the higher rewards. I’ve played Price is Right enough to witness the Showcase Showdown twice. As you mentioned, the values of the price tags are unveiled at the end, reinforcing my belief that the game is indeed honest, and it's possible you’ve just been on the wrong side of luck.

From my perspective, New Year’s in Vegas tends to be overrated. If your goal is to welcome the New Year packed amidst countless others on the Strip, you'll certainly achieve that. Yet, within the casinos, the main distinction seems to be the amusing hats that people wear. As locals, we generally avoid the Strip on December 31st. While I’m not really an authority on the party scene, I feel confident in saying that similar festivities can be found at any time of the year.

For bets at odds of 2 to 1, the largest sample size where this becomes a good wager is 14 games. If you're selecting randomly, you would have approximately a 39.53% chance of achieving 57% or better, which means getting 8 or more right. For this to be a sound bet, you'd need a probability exceeding 33.33%. With 21 games, it's nearly fair, but the probability is just below, at 33.18%. When the number of required picks increases, the necessary success rate decreases. For instance, if 1000 picks were needed, the highest number for more than a 1/3 chance of success would be 507. The probability of achieving 507 or more correct in 1000 picks is about 34.05%.

Stanford Wong outlines a basic strategy for this scenario in his book, particularly in table 46. Additionally, he mentioned a promotion back in 1995 at the Bourbon Street casino in Las Vegas, where every 50 minutes, the dealer would show both of their cards for five hands, providing players a 10% advantage during those times, according to Wong. Basic Blackjack As a long-time fan of football and an avid bettor, I’m intrigued by your statistical model for analyzing the game. I’m attempting to construct my own model since I’ve realized that relying solely on my knowledge does not yield wins (I have tried). Therefore, I’m adopting a statistical approach, using SPSS for my analysis. Could you please share the variables you incorporate into your model?

I was examining your section on video poker and went through the \"Full Pay\" Deuces Wild game, which promises a return of 100.76% with optimal strategy. However, I also came across the 'Sevens Wild' game from RTG, which I’ve played at Inet-Bet and Bodog. The pay table is nearly identical to the 'Full Pay' Deuces Wild, except for the Straight Flush payout, which offers 10 for 1 rather than 9 for 1. Shouldn’t this result in an expected return exceeding 100.76%, as opposed to the 99.11% stated? Am I potentially overlooking something?

In a tournament with a $1,000 chip stack and just 30 hands dealt, what would be the ideal bet sizes for the Ante and Pair-Plus? Anything’s Wild I'm not particularly strong in tournament strategies. However, if a flush is typically worth 3, I would suggest avoiding the Pair-Plus bet unless you find yourself in dire need of a miracle during the final hands. Otherwise, the higher stakes and variance could likely lead to your downfall. Stick with the ante bet when it's necessary to make a strategic move.

There isn’t a specific area designated for this. You need to hand the chips to the dealer and ask him to place them on the odds. For instance, if you make a come bet and the next roll results in a nine, I typically wait until I have the dealer’s attention, place the bet within reach, and state, 'odds on the nine.' house edge Welcome back, Wizard. You’ve expanded your title from merely the Wizard of Odds to also being the Wizard of... From your performance, it’s clear. Currently, I have a 51.7% success rate at the casino pool. I have a humble request: would it be possible for you to share your picks for ALL GAMES each week, provided it doesn’t require too much of your time?

I’ve been in a relationship with this amazing girl for around six months now. She’s stunning and manages one of the hottest bars in the area. Additionally, she is a football enthusiast and an excellent cook. Her family hails from Philly, and like many in that city, they own summer homes along the Jersey Shore. Over the Labor Day weekend, she took me down there. Throughout that weekend, she repeatedly suggested, 'Honey, tomorrow I plan on enjoying some time at the beach. Why don’t you head to Atlantic City for some blackjack or poker?' My question is, what are the odds that this situation might improve any further?

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